A
"stabilization target" refers to a specific goal or level that needs to be achieved in order to keep something steady, balanced, or unchanged. It is a defined objective set to maintain a particular state without any significant fluctuations or variations.
Full definition
That, along with reducing carbon emissions by several percent a year, which is challenging but doable, could meet the 2 °
C stabilization target.
Although it does not recommend or justify any
particular stabilization target, it does provide important scientific insights about the relationships among emissions, greenhouse gas concentrations, temperatures, and impacts.
The report of Susan Solomon's National Research Council Committee
on Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations is the place to go to see a collection of impacts that have already been observed and will be amplified as the climate changes in ways that have been quantitatively estimated.
Yet, our National Research Council Climate
Stabilization Targets report points out that some of the most dramatic climate changes will endure for tens of thousands of years, with slow feedbacks providing some of the more catastrophic possibilities.
Much of the confusion arises because so much of scientific modeling of climate impacts assumes a wide variety of
possible stabilization targets, which gives a wide range of impacts, which makes it seem like scientists don't know what's going to happen.
However, under a more
moderate stabilization target there is much greater flexibility to offset delayed participation by developing countries through greater abatement in wealthy countries and through more global abatement in the latter part of the century.
Andy, I fail to see how this idea differs substantially from a 100 % auctioned tradable permit system with a hard cap on permits based on a
specific stabilization target.
The danger of all this, of course, is that PDO shift do nothing to mitigate the expected anthropogenic warming expected by the century's end; they will simply mask it at the time when action is urgently needed to start on the path to a sub-550 ppm
CO2e stabilization target.
July 19: Dr. Stephen Schneider passed away unexpectedly in London • July 17: The Polar Science Center observes anomalous drop in Arctic ice volume • July 16: The National Academy of Sciences released a summary report on climate
stabilization targets pertaining to emissions, concentrations, and impacts over decades to millennia.
Much of the debate has focused on climate
stabilization targets consistent with limiting CO2 concentrations to either 450 parts per million volume (ppmv) or 550 ppmv (currently, CO2 concentrations are 385 ppmv, compared with preindustrial levels of about 280 ppmv).
Yet they still class it as «low - carbon» and even refer to bioenergy with carbon - capture and storage (BECCS) as a credible means of removing carbon from the atmosphere which they deem essential to
meeting stabilization targets.
The book quantifies the outcomes of
different stabilization targets for greenhouse gas concentrations using analyses and information drawn from the scientific literature.
The report makes clear that «[a] Key assumption is that other countries pursue equivalent actions that are also commensurate with the
same stabilization target» (p. 9).
Further information about the way today's CO2 emissions reset the climate of the next several millennia can be found in the National Research Council Climate
Stabilization Targets report, of which I was a co-author:
A new report attempts to quantify the impacts from climate change by looking at various possible stabilization targets
Division on Earth and Life Studies Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate Committee on
Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
When it was a standing committee (until December 2010), the CRC convened a number of forums focused on emerging issues of interest to the climate science and policy communities and was instrumental in developing several important NRC activities, including the America's Climate Choices suite of activities, the study
on Stabilization Targets for Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, and a study on short - term (intraseasonal to interannual) climate predictability.
The National Academy of Sciences, for its part, has convened an expert panel to deliver a verdict on the appropriate «
stabilization targets» for the nation, a report expected to be delivered by summer 2010.
And achieving
any stabilization target — whether 2 degrees C of warming or 450 ppm or 1,000 gigatons of carbon added to the atmosphere by human activity — will require at least an 80 percent cut in emissions from peak levels by the end of this century and, ultimately, zero emissions over the long term.
This report, «Climate
Stabilization Targets: Emissions, Concentrations, and Impacts Over Decades to Millennia,» provides a fresh degree - by - degree guide to impacts on river flows, rainfall, coasts and other factors that matter enormously over the next few decades as human populations crest.
Renegotiating the global climate
stabilization target.
Based on evidence from Earth's history, we suggest here that the relevant form of climate sensitivity in the Anthropocene (e.g. from which to base future greenhouse gas (GHG)
stabilization targets) is the Earth system sensitivity including fast feedbacks from changes in water vapour, natural aerosols, clouds and sea ice, slower surface albedo feedbacks from changes in continental ice sheets and vegetation, and climate — GHG feedbacks from changes in natural (land and ocean) carbon sinks.
«Our results suggest that achieving any given global temperature
stabilization target will require steeper greenhouse gas emissions reductions than previously calculated,» Brown and Caldeira wrote in the study.
C - FACT calls for companies to reduce GHG emissions in line with these scientific climate
stabilization targets, and in proportion to companies» relative contribution to the economy.
Together, these findings highlight unique seasonal and agricultural region changes in the +1.5 °C and +2.0 °C worlds for adaptation planning in these climate
stabilization targets.