In addition, to the extent higher realized
inflation leads to higher inflation expectations — and in turn, higher interest rates — financial stocks, another big value sector, also benefit.
The improving economy, however, will
likely lead to higher inflation and interest rates, which will raise the cost of borrowing for consumers and investors.
It is also possible that a period of very low interest rates will eventually
lead to higher inflation for land and construction work, as is normally required to bring forth more supply of a particular good or service.
So, and correct me if I'm mistaken, low interest
rates lead to high inflation, which tends to raise bond yields, which then in turn raises interest rates which then leads to lower inflation?
A related question I sometimes hear — which bears also on the relationship between monetary and fiscal policy, is this: By buying securities, are you «monetizing the debt» — printing money for the government to use — and will that
inevitably lead to higher inflation?
If you're trying to figure out which currency to keep your assets in, it largely depends on what currency your future expenses are likely to be in, though I can imagine that one might want to move out of a particular currency if there's a lot of political instability that you're expecting to
lead to high inflation in a currency for a time.
Some fear a bear market if policymakers fail to deliver growth and Trump's protectionist
stance leads to higher inflation and unemployment with insufficient and stagnant demand.
It includes conditions like the one after a high economic growth
period leading to high inflation and fears of slowdown, or during uncertain times when the central bank is expected to increase interest rates.
Domestic inflationary pressures, associated with higher wages and incomes, will
lead to higher inflation for non-tradable goods and services but, at the same time, the gradual pass through of the initial exchange rate appreciation will lead to lower inflation for tradable goods and services (whose prices in foreign currency terms depend to a significant extent on global considerations).
If Trump does start to enact some of the anti-trade policies that he has talked about during the campaign, that would
likely lead to higher inflation and, by extension, to higher cap rates on commercial properties, notes MacKinnon.
In addition, if we believe that the massive increase in the money supply will
eventually lead to higher inflation, there is some degree of long - term inflation protection in core real estate.
The Trump administration is expected to increase fiscal spending and focus on employment, which in turn could
lead to higher inflation and higher rates.
Since the election, investors appear increasingly convinced that a Trump administration will
lead to higher inflation, and potentially higher growth as well.
Under these conditions, there is substantial risk that the additional stimulus from larger deficits will
lead to higher inflation and interest rates.
That puts pressure on corporate profit margins and theoretically should
lead to higher inflation.
Given India's role as a net oil importer, higher oil prices will
lead to higher inflation and will negatively impact the fiscal and current account...
As an aside, the further the dollar weakens the more expensive it will be for the US to purchase foreign goods, which will
lead to higher inflation.
The Dilma administration forced the central bank to cut interest rates to an exceptionally low level,
leading to high inflation and financial instability.
William Miller continued it in the Carter Administration,
leading to higher inflation.
For example, an increase in the price of oil may contribute to higher input costs for a company and could
lead to higher inflation.
My conclusion: bond prices have crashed, and stock prices have jumped, mostly because bond investors believe a Trump presidency will
lead to higher inflation.