Sentences with phrase «uncertainty in climate projections»
How low clouds respond to warming remains the greatest source of uncertainty in climate projections.
climate-dynamics.org
The overall uncertainty in climate projections, however, remains relatively unchanged.
My understanding is that the major uncertainties in climate projections on time scales of more than a few decades are unlikely to be resolved in the near future.
Also, a very large source of uncertainty in climate projections is the unknown future development of emissions, land use and solar activity.
Read more «Reducing Uncertainties in Climate Projections With Emergent Constraints.
Seminars addressed scientific issues affecting uncertainties in climate projections.
Starting in the late 1990s, big companies whose profits were tied to fossil fuels recognized they could use this journalistic practice to amplify the inherent uncertainties in climate projections and thus potentially delay cuts in emissions from burning those fuels.
Communicating uncertainty in climate projections provides essential information to decision makers, allowing them to evaluate how policies might reduce the risk of climate impacts.
By Dr. Tim Ball It is not surprising that Roe and Baker explained in a 2007 Science paper that, «The envelope of uncertainty in climate projections has not narrowed appreciably over the past 30 years, despite tremendous increases in computing power, in observations, and in the number of scientists studying the problem.»
But, each data source also has a degree of uncertainty in its climate projection,» says Heaton.
The AGU recognizes that the climate system is complex, and there are uncertainties in climate projections that are made.
Given the uncertainty in climate projections, there can be surprises that may cause more dramatic disruptions than anticipated from the most probable model projections.
The book does a good job of explaining the uncertainties in the climate projections.
Given current uncertainties in representing convective precipitation microphysics and the current inability to find a clear obser - vational constraint that favors one version of the authors» model over the others, the implications of this ability to engineer climate sensitivity need to be considered when estimating the uncertainty in climate projections.»
It is not likely that the uncertainty in climate projections will be much reduced by adhering to the current paradigm of running ever more complex global climate models, and the desire to have a consensus may be discouraging new approaches.
A key problem for reducing the uncertainty in climate projections is historical records of change are often too short to test the skill of climate models, raising concerns over our ability to successfully plan for the future.
The uncertainties in climate projections originate in the representation of processes such as clouds and turbulence that are not resolvable on the computational grid of global models.
It is not surprising that Roe and Baker explained in a 2007 Science paper that, «The envelope of uncertainty in climate projections has not narrowed appreciably over the past 30 years, despite tremendous increases in computing power, in observations, and in the number of scientists studying the problem.»
«We used the MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM), which quantifies various sources of uncertainty in climate projections,» Gao told environmentalresearchweb.
By the statistical evaluation of the different climate developments simulated, the uncertainties in climate projections can be better estimated and reduced, for example, for rainfall trends.