Over the past 20 years, significant advances have been made in the science of hurricane track forecasting. (gfdl.noaa.gov)
GFDL and URI scientists have continued to transition the latest research advancements into the operational GFDL hurricane model, and this has resulted in a steady reduction in track forecast error since 1995. (gfdl.noaa.gov)
The figure above shows a comparison of the 14 - season trend of the 3 - day track forecast errors for the GFDL hurricane model and the official forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center. (gfdl.noaa.gov)