Sentences with phrase «baseline scenario»

This chapter attempts to reflect the limited literature examining the possible positive and negative relationships between baseline scenarios and future impacts.

In baseline scenarios, without any temperature alteration, the streams behaved as expected, with a swell in streamflow during snowmelt.

It shows the range of baseline scenarios in the models it considered:

For instance, on his blog Baseline Scenario, University of Connecticut law professor James Kwak makes many of the same points as Quittner — the Zuckerberg - Chan donation isn't really a donation at all but a newly formed LLC that will have significant tax benefits for the couple, who will retain almost complete control over their money.

The macro-economic costs of mitigation generally rise with the stringency of the stabilisation target and are relatively higher when derived from baseline scenarios characterised by high emission levels.

We'll never have a credible baseline scenario against which to compare changes once we embark on a course of action.

«In our current baseline scenario we have indeed assumed that the UK should be able to secure an agreement that preserves many advantages of the UK's current Single Market access.

«The key risk is that it does not end with this modest baseline scenario,» said Kuijs, who formerly worked for the World Bank in Beijing.

As a result of the lower medium - term growth prospects, a weakening banking system, high inflation and rising competitiveness issues, Moody's assesses Angola's Economic Strength lower than under the previous baseline scenario, more in line with B2 rated peers.

The methodology panel says the coal - fired plant projects should be suspended to allow time «to revise the procedure to identify the most likely baseline scenario.»

Here is the list of those invited that did not come: Abnormal Returns Alea Barry Ritholtz Clusterstock Free Exchange at The Economist Paul Kedrosky Andrew Leonard Calculated Risk Yglesias Megan McArdle Mike Konczal Baseline Scenario Mish The Audit at Columbia Journalism Review Credit Slips Prudent Investor Brad Delong Felix Salmon

Additionality is also easier to prove when we move into the village because traditional low - income lifestyles lead to static baseline scenarios.

They estimate that the world would warm by 3.6 degrees Celsius (6.4 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100 when compared with pre-industrial levels if Trump quits Paris, more than the 3.3 - degree baseline scenario.

The number of mitigation scenarios leading to 6 W / m2 in the literature is relatively low (around 10)-- but at the same time many baseline scenarios (no climate policy) correspond to this forcing level.

The future increase in CH4 concentrations up to 2030 according to the SRES scenarios ranges from 8.1 GtCO2 - eq to 10.3 GtCO2 - eq (increase of 19 — 51 % compared to 2000), and the increase under the Energy Modeling Forum (EMF)-21 baseline scenarios is quite similar (7.5 GtCO2 - eq to 11.3 GtCO2 - eq / yr).

Sure enough, IAMs have widely varying baseline scenarios, reflecting different assumptions about the pace and nature of growth.

[M] itigation scenarios are not small perturbations on easily forecastable baseline scenarios, where linear «first order» differences would dominate.

He noted that the baseline scenario for tests in 2015 — which projected an economic contraction of 2.3 percent for that year — was more dramatic than the 1.3 percent contraction used in the most conservative scenario in the current tests.

Don't count Johnson, a former IMF chief economist and author of the Baseline Scenario blog, among those optimistic that real change is in the offing.

A.P. Economics Barry Ritholtz (The Big Picture) Mish (Global Trend Analysis) Anonymous (Calculated Risk) Boone, Johnson & Kwak (Baseline Scenario) Yves Smith & Co. (Naked...

A.P. Economics Barry Ritholtz (The Big Picture) Mish (Global Trend Analysis) Anonymous (Calculated Risk) Boone, Johnson & Kwak (Baseline Scenario) Yves Smith & Co. (Naked Capitalism) Prieur du Plessis (Investment Postcards) Hamilton & Chinn (Econbrowser) Greg Mankiw (Greg Mankiw's Blog)

Despite the risks to the debt burden, Moody's baseline scenario is that the debt - to - GDP will remain below 60 %, mitigated by the strong nominal GDP growth due to high inflation and the existence of government financial buffers (around 14 % of GDP).

In addition, the government debt stock and service remain vulnerable to stronger devaluations than Moody's baseline scenario.

In the IMF's baseline scenario, Greece's government debt will reach 275 % of its GDP by 2060, when its financing needs will represent 62 % of GDP.

The ACBC report forecasts — on a baseline scenario — that by 2026 the services share of exports to China will have doubled, from 9.6 per cent in 2015 to 19 per cent.

However, if vaccine efficacy wanes after administration, the researchers found that there could be years with larger epidemics than would occur without any vaccination (the baseline scenario), and that vaccine booster doses are necessary to prevent this outcome.

Initially, vaccines are protected, and some cases that occur in the baseline scenario are avoided.

«For reusable cloth nappies the study states «The baseline scenario based on average washer and drier use produced a global warming impact of approximately 570 kg of carbon dioxide equivalents.»

The connectivity cost in our baseline scenario is for bringing 1,884 (out of 10,393) schools up to 100 kbps per student.

E-Rate provides discounts of up to 90 percent to schools and libraries for Internet and telecommunication services.11 Our baseline scenario involves bringing all schools up to a bandwidth of 100 kbps per student; the target scenario bandwidth is 1,000 kbps per student.

To estimate the costs associated with upgrading connectivity, computing devices, and IT support for devices, we developed two scenarios: a baseline scenario, which aligns with minimum expectations for bringing digital learning into classrooms; and a target scenario, which involves a level of functionality necessary for tools such as digital textbooks, video conferencing, and virtual field trips.

We estimate the cost of a 2:1 ratio of students to devices in our baseline scenario and a 1:1 ratio in our target scenario.

In our baseline scenario, the IT staff - device ratio increases by roughly half (1:300), which is still below the industry median (1:200).

The baseline scenario is designed to reflect minimum expectations for bringing digital learning into classrooms.

Our baseline scenario — which includes minimum bandwidth for digital learning, one device for every two middle - and high - school students, and one IT staffer for every 300 computing devices — would cost an additional $ 1.5 billion over the next three years.

Our baseline scenario involves the cost of upgrades that would bring all schools up to minimum recommended standards — bandwidth at the minimum recommended speed, one device to every two middle - and high - school students, and IT staffing at 1:300.

Additional staffing represents 65 percent of the upgrade costs in the baseline scenario and 62 percent of the total additional costs in the target scenario.

As a baseline scenario, let's assume that Apple and Samsung took the 78 percent of the market not held by Amazon.

White House Burning: The Founding Fathers, Our National Debt, and Why It Matters to You by Simon Johnson and James Kwak Pantheon April 3 The co-founders of The Baseline Scenario offer an insightful, demystifying look into the national debt.

The baseline scenario is that a passive investor holds the Global Market Portfolio (GMP) in the absence of overriding views or predictions.

We have to assess downside risks, and possibilities that some things might go better than the baseline scenario.

Simon Johnson and James Kwak write a popular blog, The Baseline Scenario.

The report also outlines a baseline scenario, built around these trends, to size the business potential for passenger rail in 2020, and concludes with comments on how passenger rail operators can take advantage of the trends transforming the industry landscape, and position themselves to benefit from opportunities that currently lie beyond their borders.