Sentences with phrase «confidence limits»

Confidence limits refer to the range of values within which the true value of something is likely to fall. It represents a level of uncertainty or error associated with a measurement or estimate. Full definition
The past 12 to 13 years show cooling using both satellite data sets, with lower confidence limits that do not exclude a negative trend until 16 to 22 years.
The single year confidence limits of stocks are of the order of plus and minus 40 % to 50 % (for two standard deviations).
My inner confidence limits for a single year are plus and minus 20 %.
The inner confidence limits correspond roughly to probability levels of 20 % and 80 %.
I require that all acceptable sequences stay within the outer confidence limits at Years 10, 20 and 30.
By not showing confidence limits at reasonable intervals, he makes predictions meaningless.
Values above the upper confidence limit indicate a well with a potentially active compound.
The regular, outer confidence limits correspond to confidence levels in the neighborhood of 5 % and 95 %.
In other words, they are not confidence limits.
This discussion of 95 % confidence limits seems to neglect the important difference between criteria for science and policy - making.
The inner confidence levels are half way between the regression equations (i.e., the straight lines) and the regular confidence limits.
We need to see confidence limits routinely placed about projections.
Since the inner confidence limits cover 60 % of probable outcomes, this requires us to generate four to five times as many sequences as usual.
Where's the statistical analysis that shows that the theoretical trend is, in fact outside the 95 % confidence limits of the data?
Confidence limits at high valuations: plus and minus $ 5000 from visual inspection.
The odds are (roughly) 95 % that the return will be lower than the higher confidence limit.
For what it is worth; my own view is that the models ARE useful for projections for this century, and that the wide confidence limits on those projections is a reasonable and cautious recognition that models are a long way from perfect.
The Outcome Matrix does not include confidence limits directly, but it does bound the range of likely outcomes.
This Luke warmer thinks that the trend in ECS confidence limits is shrinking the fat tail.
(a) Changes in the global mean fire weather season length from 1979 to 2013 with 95 % confidence limits between ensemble members (shaded area).
Equation: y = 106600 / [P / E10] + 15981 1.64 standard deviations = 5845 Confidence limits = plus and minus $ 5845 by formula.
Our inner confidence limits range from -2.3 % (Unlucky) to +3.7 % (Lucky).
We can also calculate variances (and standard deviations) from the historical data and derive confidence limits.
Although the linear regression line values are quite different, the error margins mean that there is considerable overlap between the 95 % confidence limits so the two data sets are in fact in statistical agreement.
The deviations between the actual past and the computed past provide information for establishing confidence limits for the future projections.
Also, why does East Antactica, having a sparser population of surface stations, not have wider confidence limits than East Antarctica?
In S09, Fig. 2 (reconstructed AWS), the 95 % confidence limits spans approximately + / - 1 C for both East and West Antarctica.
I strongly advocate using confidence limits, even if crudely determined, when presenting estimates.
I used the 20 % and 80 % (inner) confidence limits in a Bear Market to define two P / E10 levels: 14 and 21.
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