Sentences with phrase «confidence range»

What are the expected typical confidence ranges for an study to be considered scientific?

Green vertical bar is estimated 95 percent confidence range (two standard deviations) for annual temperature change.

The 95 percent confidence range in this study was between about 1 and 7 °C equilibrium sensitivity, so very low and very high climate sensitivities could not be ruled out, but are relatively unlikely, based on the historical record.

The IPCC 95 % confidence range puts the total net anthropogenic forcing at 0.6 to 2.4 W / m2 (Figure 1).

It includes a table (Fig. 2) of 16 estimates by different un-named experts together with confidence ranges.

We have done this extensively in our paper and in the supplementary information (indeed our chronology confidence ranges are based on the spread from individual values in each year, and become broader when tree indices are in less agreement).

Additionally, the GWPF report uses 68 percent confidence ranges throughout, so the 2.2 and 4.8 °C PALEOSENS paleoclimate estimate is inconsistent with the GWPF low sensitivity conclusions.

Other factors that contributed to higher confidence range from improvement in the U.S. economy, low interest rates and availability of equity capital.

In the chart below (Figure 1), I have plotted the entire 118 year record, including the overall average (solid red line) and the 95 % confidence range about that mean (+ / - two times the detrended standard deviation; dotted red lines).

«That gives us confidence the ranging we're trialling at these sites is working.

The new projections fall outside of the 95 % confidence range of 2015 UN probabilistic projections, which range from 9.5 to 13 billion in 2100.

Along the way, the guides are careful to walk the reader through their explanations of Student Growth Percentiles (SGPs) and a teacher's Mean Growth Percentile (MGP), impressing the reader with discussions and charts of confidence ranges and the need to be transparent about the data.

Steam Spy uses 98 % confidence range and is very inaccurate for small games, especially the ones below 30K owners.

* The 95 % confidence range of the global forecast is that the temperature will lie between 0.38 °C to 0.70 °C above normal.

For total aerosol forcing using the AR4 uncertainty ranges for individual components, the 90 % confidence range, by quadrature, is ± 0.86 W / m2 (see Table 4).

The confidence range would, however, be totally wrong for some other radiocarbon age.

Increase the confidence range, eg 6 ″ -36 ″.

Note that Lindzen's assumed zero net aerosol + black carbon forcing is outside of this confidence range; therefore, neglecting its effect can not be justified.

Consistent with the last IPCC assessment report, we find that most of the observed warming over this period (+0.65 K) is attributable to anthropogenic forcings (+0.67 ± ± 0.12 K, 90 % confidence range), with a very limited contribution from natural forcings (− 0.01 ± 0.02 − 0.01 ± 0.02 K).

The 90 % confidence range for the linear twentieth century rise predicted by the semi-empirical model is 13 — 30 cm, whereas the observed interval (using two tide gauge data sets) is 14 — 26 cm.

Consistent with the last IPCC assessment report, we find that most of the observed warming over this period (+0.65 K) is attributable to anthropogenic forcings (+0.67 \ (\ pm \) 0.12 K, 90 % confidence range), with a very limited contribution from natural forcings (\ -LRB--0.01 \ pm 0.02 \) K).

Global average temperature is expected to remain between 0.28 °C and 0.59 °C (90 % confidence range) above the long - term (1971 - 2000) average during the period 2013 - 2017, with values most likely to be about 0.43 °C higher than average (see blue curves in the Figure 1 below).

In doing so, he arrived at an equilibrium climate sensitivity estimate of 1.99 °C with a 95 % confidence range of it being between 1.75 °C and 2.23 °C.