Line
of credit growth occurs and is only a benefit when a portion of the line of credit is not used.
Analysis of trends
in credit growth will therefore need to take account of a greater degree of noise in the series in the future.
Regarding the first of these issues, the most recent cyclical peak in
household credit growth occurred around the end of 2003, when it reached an annual rate of over 20 per cent.
The recent falls in housing loan approvals point to the possibility of greater moderation in
housing credit growth in the near term.
In the meantime, vulnerabilities have been slowly growing, on the back of
strong credit growth in several countries less affected by the crisis.
Credit growth remains strong and has picked up noticeably in recent months, driven by an acceleration in both business and housing credit (Table 10).
There is no firm benchmark as to what constitutes a «normal» relationship
between credit growth and nominal GDP growth.
It is also useful to look at the effect
on credit growth of a number of other scenarios for loan approvals.
In this new age of fiat money,
credit growth drives economic growth, liquidity determines the direction of asset prices and the government controls both through aggressive policy intervention.
«Looking ahead, we think tight monetary conditions and
slowing credit growth will continue to weigh on the pace of economic expansion in coming quarters,» he said.
The report noted that many policymakers see
weak credit growth generally in the global economy as a primary reason behind the slow economic recovery.
Line of
credit growth occurs and is only a benefit when a portion of the line of credit is not used.
This was the first
time credit growth has fallen below the 2 % recession threshold since 2013.
In recent months, total credit has been growing at annual rates around 10 per cent, with
personal credit growth slightly stronger than the total.
Real interest rates could not be considered high judged by any previous comparable period, and credit has continued to expand rapidly, with the pace of
credit growth increasing further in recent months.
The line of
credit growth feature appeals to many borrowers who are uncertain about how long their retirement funds will last or who want to be prepared for unexpected financial events.
The overall picture is one in which both growth and inflation will remain subdued against the backdrop of very low money and
credit growth during the past few years.
When policy rates are close to zero, and
credit growth hampered by demand and supply, they barely work at all.
What you suggest is, to me, the cause for us having not seen much inflation despite our
enormous credit growth since the 1980s.
Massive investments have been made in financial sector rehabilitation, leading to renewed profitability and
robust credit growth.
There is no reason to assume that the enormous amount of attention paid to
credit growth recently has had no impact on this kind of behavior.
I am not fully confident of this number because there seem to be significant strains in the banking system, and without
easy credit growth there can not be much investment growth.
And a prolonged crisis risks putting the brakes on a recovery in
European credit growth, slowing the region's recovery.
The consistently strong
credit growth suggests that the level of interest rates has not posed a significant hurdle to those households and businesses wishing to borrow over recent years.
With
credit growth below 2 % and with further asset price inflation unlikely, the risk of a recession in 2016 is high.
Business credit growth has also picked up modestly over recent months, although with generally healthy profit growth, many firms are still able to rely on internal funding to finance expansion plans.
However, at some point this transitional process must come to an end, which would require
household credit growth to return to something more closely in line with the growth of nominal GDP.
The divergence between
housing credit growth and loan approvals may partly reflect lags between the purchase of a home and final settlement.
In other words,
credit growth drove economic growth; and when credit did not grow, neither did the economy.
Chapter 2 looks at efforts by policymakers to revive
weak credit growth, which has been seen by many as a primary reason behind the slow economic recovery.
Business credit has slowed more noticeably, and has been the main contributor to the slight moderation in
total credit growth.
The line of
credit growth feature appeals to many borrowers who are uncertain about how long their retirement funds will last or who want to be prepared for unexpected financial events.
That is not the case at present, given the current rates
of credit growth and so on.
The strength
in credit growth, especially for households, has reflected strong demand for borrowing, a relatively low cost of finance and high consumer confidence.
Under this scenario, growth drops steadily during the economic adjustment period, but in an orderly way for over a decade or more as Beijing slowly
gets credit growth under control.
Given the fiscal stance and state of
private credit growth, central banks should manage the real rate of interest such that rentiers do not capture a free lunch (i.e. real rates should not be too high) and there is no risk of a hot - potato / credit - bubble cycle (i.e. real rates should not be too low).
Phrases with «credit growth»