Sentences with phrase «error bands»
"Error bands" refer to a range or margin of uncertainty or error around a particular measure or prediction. They indicate that the actual value or outcome may vary within this range due to inherent uncertainties or inaccuracies in the measurement or prediction process. Full definition
Series now warms — not quite as much as the surface but within error bands.
judithcurry.com
What is frustrating in analyzing these temperature data sets with the accompanying readjustments and claimed error bands is that there appears to be no simple and straight forward exposition of what has been done.
Figure 6 of Houston 2011 indeed indicates such error bands (but even more importantly, it shows high frequency noise which is almost an order of magnitude larger).
As long as discrete data (e.g.: temp for a given time & location) errors are not cumulative (e.g.: 1 degree error on Monday & 1 degree error on Tuesday starts off Wednesday with a 2 degree error), isn't this what error bands are for?
Temperature reconstructions, beyond the grossest of approximations with large error bands, are not possible without having much more information at hand.
Under these conditions, each adjustment comes in steps, the step length being a multiples of the error band, the collective «thermostat» uncertainty.
Note that the gray areas are «error bands,» indicating 95 % confidence intervals.
When you have a lot of highly correlated indexes, any attempt to intuit the style of a given manager is problematic; the error bands get too wide.
Since then the data seems to track about 1/2 the error band below the best model.
This is what CRU does not advertise, because it blows away the Hockey Stick chart and replaces it with a tube of large unknowns with an error band of + / - 3 ° C or more.
Work since then has indicated that while the error bands hold, the method may have somewhat underestimated variability on a decadal scale.
The model output is simply nonsense, the false precision is a joke, the error bands swamp the signal, and the so called causal relationship between CO2 and global average temperature is wishful thinking.
Error bands would handle the exact payout ratios.
Or shall we conclude that near all pre-1985 data are within the error band of the measurements?