Sentences with phrase «high emissions scenario»

Soil moisture 30 cm below ground projected through 2100 for high emissions scenario RCP 8.5.

Still, our understanding has a wide range of projections, particularly for high emissions scenarios as Jevrejeva et al. (2014) illustrates.

Projections with low, mid and high emissions scenarios led to projected global average warming of 1.3 Â °C (1.1 Â ° to 1.4 Â °C) above the pre-industrial era.

«In addition, we have shown here that global circulation models vary widely in their drought - frequency projections, particularly later in the century and along higher emissions scenarios,» said Yohe.

Mountainous areas will face glacier retreat, reduced snow cover and winter tourism, and extensive species losses (in some areas up to 60 % under high emission scenarios by 2080).

«Emerging science regarding Antarctic ice sheet stability suggests that, for high emission scenarios, a GMSL [global mean sea level] rise exceeding 8 feet (2.4 m) by 2100 is physically possible, although the probability of such an extreme outcome can not currently be assessed,» the report says.

In the high emission scenario, or essentially no change in current trends of fossil fuel use, permafrost losses were between 6 million and 16 million square kilometers, while soil carbon losses varied from 74 to 652 petagrams and occur mostly after 2100.

For the IPCC's highest emissions scenario, the top end of the range goes up to 0.98 m.

The researchers then ran their ice sheet model to simulate how the glaciers responded to global temperature rise under a medium - high emissions scenario.

These results and the emerging additional regions of highest climate change vulnerability under high emissions scenarios (Figures S7, S8, S9) suggest that global policies that mitigate greenhouse gas emissions will substantially reduce species» climate change vulnerability.

And if we continue to track the highest emissions scenarios — taking us to 4C or 5C by the end of the century — the risk of potentially catastrophic impacts rises even higher, the report adds.

These model experiments include the historical period up to 2005, and a future period under a high emissions scenario.

best estimate for it's lowest emissions scenario and 4.0 C... best estimate for it's highest emissions scenario

The projected change in the number of SAOs was analyzed using two global climate models, one a low temperature sensitivity and the other a middle - temperature sensitivity, both forced with low and high emission scenarios, for three future time periods.

page 30: «Current carbon dioxide emissions are, in fact, above the highest emissions scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), implying that if we stay the current course, we're heading for even larger warming than the highest projections from the IPCC.»

For RCP8.5 [the high emissions scenario and warming track in the illustration above] by 2100, the combination of high temperature and humidity in some areas for parts of the year will compromise normal activities, including growing food or working outdoors (high confidence).

If you look what has happened during the last few years in China and India and how negotiations on emission caps are very tough, and that there is lots of coal in China, etc., I do not know how you can think that the high emission scenarios ar so unlikely.

«Under a high emissions scenario, where we don't make significant changes to our fossil fuel use, applications could increase by 188 percent — nearly tripling.»

If skeptics are right and we follow the high emissions scenario, we'll break that limit 3 decades later than we would otherwise suspect.

Even with a low climate sensitivity, high emissions scenarios will lead to warming exceeding the nominal 2 °C target.

A high emission scenario shows increase of sea level rise for the next century, while in the low emissions simulation higher moisture holding capacity of the warmer air surrounding the Antarctic Ice Sheet leads to a snowfall increase, offsetting ice mass loss.

Again the bulk of recent evidence shows «most likely» projections for the year 2100 are still close to the old IPCC range, but improved understanding of possible instability of the Antarctic ice sheets does substantially raise high end projections (that are a combination of a high emissions scenario and high sensitivity) to well above that range.

However, this rise in wind potential is only projected for a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

The high emissions scenario projects the equivalent of an atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration of 1,370 parts per million (ppm) by 2100, while the moderate emissions scenario projects the equivalent of 650 ppm by 2100.

Other marine - based drainage systems become unstable under higher emission scenarios, until most of the marine ice is eventually lost to the self - reinforcing feedback after about 2500 GtC of cumulative carbon release

Similarly, projections based on the higher emissions scenario (A1FI: Fig. 1, D, F, H, J) alter diversity more than those based on lower emissions (B1: Fig. 1, C, E, G, I).

(D, F, H, J) Higher emissions scenario (A1FI).

By 2100, global atmospheric CO2 levels reach 550 and 970 ppm under the lower and higher emissions scenarios, respectively.

This model is integrated for the period 1961 — 1990 (baseline) and the future time period 2071 — 2100 (High emission scenario, A2).

By late century the number of sub-freezing days declines by 41 %, under a high emissions scenario, and average winter temperatures are projected to rise to 37 oF.

Taos County can expect an average of 141 days per year of sub-freezing temperatures through late century under a high emissions scenario, compared to 198 32 oF days on average from 1981 to 2001.

Average winter temperatures will still allow for snow under a high emissions scenario.

Under a high emissions scenario, Blaine County can expect a 40 % decline in the number of days at or below freezing by late century, falling from a historical annual average of more than 200 days to about 120.

Under a high emissions scenario, Summit County can expect late century winters to feel about 10oF warmer with 25 % fewer average annual days at or below 32oF.