Future carbon accounting frameworks will need to cover all land uses and
land use changes in order to fully recognize the land use sector's mitigation contribution.
The impact of
land use change on the energy and water balance may be very significant for climate at regional scales over time periods of decades or longer.
It has been suggested that higher GHG thresholds for direct emissions are an adequate substitute for accounting for indirect
land use change emissions.
Before human activities such
as land use changes and industrial processes had a significant impact, the global carbon cycle was roughly balanced.
A few recent studies still claim that corn ethanol produces fewer emissions than gasoline, but a careful look reveals that their methods don't properly account
for land use change.
Cutting down forests has reduced the planet's CO2 absorption capacity, and
other land use changes have had a net forcing effect on climate.
What's more, the standard includes a penalty for the carbon emissions caused by indirect
land use changes associated with the production of biofuels.
If our assumed
land use changes occur a decade earlier, CO2 returns to 350 ppm several years earlier; however that has negligible effect on the maximum global temperature calculated below.
Solar activity too can affect temperatures, as can internal variability or potentially,
land use changes etc..
This ability to map changes as they occur is critical for understanding how
land use change affects the distribution of human populations and disease - carrying organisms.
If our
assumed land use changes occur a decade earlier, CO2 returns to 350 ppm several years earlier; however that has negligible effect on the maximum global temperature calculated below.
Land use change refers to a change in the use or management of land by humans, which may lead to a change in land cover.
In contrast, the conversion to organic farming should consumption patterns remain unchanged would lead to
increased land use change to agriculture.
Studies that do factor in
land use change show that using food crops to produce biofuels — once considered a promising climate change mitigation strategy — is worse for the climate than gasoline.
The scenario began with 2005 conditions of greenhouse gas emissions, land use and technologies, and then allowed the model to simulate greenhouse gas emissions and
land use changes until 2100.
For example, soil is second only to oceans as the planet's largest carbon sink, while agriculture and
land use changes represent the second largest source of greenhouse gas emissions.
Its loss is irreversible as the areas that were once populated by the species have since
undergone land use change for housing purposes.
About half of the CO2 that is released through fossil fuel burning or
land use changes stays in the atmosphere.
The amount generally credited for
land use changes looks closer to the amount of carbon sinking eliminated than actual emissions which are 30 + % of fossil fuel emissions.
Phrases with «land use change»