It appears the global economy may be moving ever closer to the the dreaded double - dip recession.The premier
leading economic indicator in the U.S., the ECRI Weekly Leading Indicator (WLI), now stands at a level that foreshadowed the past 7 downturns, observes David Rosenberg, chief economist with Glushkin Sheff + Associates.
A
key leading economic indicator, the purchasing managers index (PMI) for manufacturing, climbed above 50 in Europe and Japan a few months ago, while the PMIs for China and U.S. ticked up even higher above the 50 level (a reading above 50 indicates an expanding economy).
The stock market is and has been for decades one of the components of
the Leading Economic Indicators.
(So reliable is the pattern that RV sales are considered
a leading economic indicator.)
The stock market is
a leading economic indicator and right now it points the way for the economy straight down.
But it is
a leading economic indicator.
Owen Murray, director of investments for Horizon Advisors, says investors concerned about the end of the bull market should closely monitor a handful of
leading economic indicators.
«If we were to see some of
the leading economic indicators, such as consumer sentiment or capital goods orders, begin to soften or decline, it might be time to begin to prepare for a market decline,» Murray says.
Here are the four
leading economic indicators that could affect shares of Mattel Inc. in the next six months, but which ones will have the most impact?
The Leading Economic Indicators and the Purchasing Managers Index continue to show expansion ahead.
We suspect that something has to give with Chart 7; either China's GDP growth picks up, or
its leading economic indicator turns back down.
In our equity portfolios, we will therefore continue to steer clear of European companies that are exposed to both further dollar depreciation and the growth - trend reversal signalled by any number of
leading economic indicators.
The S&P 500 is considered by analysts to be
a leading economic indicator for both the stock market and the U.S. economy.
If I were to take all
the leading economic indicators as evidence of my own mood I would say they we are in a depression.
While the stock market is
a leading economic indicator, the bond market reveals what actually happens in the current economy.
The Leading Economic Indicators Index provides a great snapshot of overall expectations for the economy
Home prices are generally considered
a leading economic indicator since a drop in housing prices implies excess demand and houses being overvalued.
The S&P 500 is considered by analysts to be
a leading economic indicator for both the stock market and the U.S. economy.
Berkshire Hathaway's ever expanding group of wholly owned companies provides
a leading economic indicator of the country's gross domestic product, employment, retail sales, housing, mortgage, and consumer debt.
The yield curve and
Leading Economic Indicators are two effective recession indicators that offer insights on potential opportunities and risks ahead.
They compared the value of the yield curve as a prediction tool to three other possible indicators, including the so called «
leading economic indicators» from the Conference Board.
Hurricane frequency is
a leading economic indicator!
Other hopeful trends include the continued rise in and index of 12
leading economic indicators.
Real estate is big business, affecting 20 percent of the gross national product, and it is one of
the leading economic indicators, along with job data and consumer confidence indexes.
Long ones, according to the Conference Board, whose index of
leading economic indicators (including jobless claims) continued to perk up in February in the biggest increase in nearly a year.