However, betting it now means buying the bad end
of sharp money moves, minimizing and potentially eliminating the previously existing line value.
Speaking of sharp money, there have been eight bet signals triggered on this game, including seven bet signals on the spread.
This
value of sharp money feeds into the concept of «reverse line movement;» knowing where professionals are moving numbers despite overwhelming public sentiment the other way.
Line movement that contradicts our betting percentages is known as reverse line movement, and it's an excellent
indicator of sharp money.
This type of split between spread tickets and spread dollars is usually
indicative of sharp money, especially when the line movement corresponds with our public betting trends.
«We've seen a good
bit of sharp money on the «Zags over the last 24 hours,» stated Cooley.
Steam moves, which are available to our Sportsbook Insider Pro members, track sudden and drastic line movement across the sports betting marketplace and are another
example of a sharp money indicator.
We should note that the Patriots have gone 32 - 13 ATS (71.1 %) following a loss, but a
majority of our sharp money indicators point towards value on the Chiefs.
As noted in a recent article, the Pinnacle MLB steam move has been incredibly profitable for bettors and it's one of the best
identifiers of sharp money.
This game is showing signs
of sharp money in the form of reverse line movement, with Tennessee getting 65 % of public support in spread bets.
The Gators line has increased form -15 to -16.5 in spite of the heavy public support for the Volunteers, indicating the
presence of sharp money on the Gators.
In today's AAC final between Cincinnati and SMU, we have a great
case of sharp money moving the line.
Alabama attracted the most action to win the National Championship prior to the season,
much of it sharp money, and they're still the favorites to win it all.
We are seeing some good
evidence of sharp money on the Texans with Pinnacle's line on the Colts dropping from -3 to -1 and a strong public backing at 74 %.
With +3's going the way of the dodo, the market has settled in at Virginia Tech -2.5 while also providing a fantastic example
of sharp money playing both sides of the same game.
There have been a
handful of sharp money indicators on this game including a steam move triggered at CRIS on the Jets +3.
Last week I argued that a
combination of sharp money indicators and historical betting trends indicated that Wake Forest was offering value as a small road underdog against Duke.
Huskies closed with just 41 % of spread tickets but moved from -3 to -3.5 during the week, a great indication
of sharp money against a higher ranked team.
This game opened at Pittsburgh -15, quickly got bet up to -17, and then witnessed a
flood of Sharp Money buy back which brought the line back to reality, +14.
There likely hasn't been a
ton of sharp money coming in at -5, as books would have moved the line to the more important number of -6.
Interestingly, 60 % of spread bets have taken Iowa, a sign that the 4 - point line move is the
result of sharp money pounding the underdog.
Books are more than happy to calculated gambles putting themselves on the
side of sharp money allowing liability to mount on the other side.
«We've seen a little
bit of sharp money on Washington and the over in that game, but not a lot in either matchup.»
Unfortunately our sample size is too small to extract much from the top trends during the Final Four; however, we do have a
number of sharp money indicators for Saturday's games.
Remember when you look at game of the year lines, the
majority of sharp money will come in on the underdogs unless a favorite is grossly underpriced.
As noted in an earlier article, the Pinnacle MLB steam move has been incredibly profitable for bettors and it's one of the best
identifiers of sharp money.
It should be noted that
most of our sharp money indicators took Tennessee from +4 to +3, while most of the sports betting marketplace has already moved to Titans +2.
Despite the majority of tickets on Arkansas the entire week, they never dropped below +14, and even moved to +14.5 by kickoff, indicating bookmakers were not willing to move to Bama -13.5 in fear of
lots of sharp money on the Tide.
62 % tickets on Carolina, 70 % of total dollars wagered on Seattle (Excellent indicator
of sharp money on Seattle)