I have to admit that this is exactly the kind of physics I enjoy, good simple theory joined at the hip
with real world observation, and I find it very convincing.
This article also shows how the theory of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) has failed to account for the
various real world observations that have been accumulating since the late 1990s.
This essay is an attempt to
link real world observations (the failure of surface temperatures to rise in tandem with atmospheric CO2) to basic physics and thereby show why the radiative characteristics of Greenhouse Gases can not increase the surface temperature of a planet when atmospheric mass, the strength of the gravitational field and the power of insolation at the top of the atmosphere remain the same.
There has not been a lot of work on this issue and there have not been episodes equivalent to ENSO and NAO that
allow real world observation.
3) However, even if the actual variance in TSI during that period was less than 4 Watts per square metre the fact is that various changes in temperature trend did occur and the shape of the chart would remain so on the basis
of real world observations we must accept that the lower the range of TSI involved then the more sensitive the Earth is as a water based thermometer.
Much of this has already been covered in earlier posts as well as in my book, Environmentalism Gone Mad; this post is intended to summarize some of the new hypotheses generated by comparisons
with real world observations.
The key to this narrower but much higher estimate can be found in
the real world observations around the role of water vapour in cloud formation.
These revelations correlate to
real world observations in OFM athletes including contributing to leaner body mass, greater immunity, improved blood sugar control when carbohydrates are utilized.
Real world observations will tell you another.
These are weather models which have
the real world observations assimilated into the solution to provide a «best guess» of the evolution of weather over time (although pre-satellite era estimates (before 1979) are less accurate).
That could explain the resolute failure of
real world observations to match model expectations and the failure to appear of the anticipated tropospheric «hot spot» that was expected as a marker for AGW.
Look around, make observations,
real world observations, not computer model outputs.
However, before they should be provided to the impacts communities as anything more than a model sensitivity study, they must be shown to have skill with respect to
real world observations.
If the current scenario continues for a few more years then
real world observations will resolve most of the disputed issues.