Surface - based
temperature histories of the globe contain a significant warming bias due to the urban heat island effect.
If the goal of the image had been «to portray the most
likely temperature history up to the present» there would have been a single curve, not three!
That we have the highest temperatures in the last 25 years over the last 400 years of
recorded temperature history and that these rising temperatures are the direct result of man - made developments.
So the image was supposed to portray not only the most
likely temperature history, it was also supposed to portray the consistency and reliability of that history.
Lindzen thinks the true number is closer to -1, which is similar to the number I backed into from
temperature history over the last 100 years.
Loehle first uses a model of natural modulations to remove the influence of natural variability (such as solar activity and ocean circulation cycles) from the
observed temperature history since 1850.
Figure 1 below shows the
U.S. temperature history as compiled by the National Climatic Data Center from 1895 through 2013.
January 2018... in 122 (2017) scientific papers Image Source: Loisel et al., 201 2017: 150 Graphs, 122 Scientific Papers In the last 12 months, 150 graphs from 122 peer - reviewed scientific papers have been published that undermine the popularized conception of a slowly cooling
Earth temperature history followed by a dramatic hockey - stick - shaped uptick, or an especially unusual global - scale warming during modern times.
While some readers presumed that «GCM - Q» must have incorporated some knowledge or information of second - half 20th
century temperature history in the development of the «model», this is not the case.
In 2001, the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) featured a graph of Northern
Hemisphere temperature history from a 1999 study by Profs. Michael Mann, Raymond Bradley, and Malcolm Hughes.
The sharp «blade» of 20th - century rise compared to the flat «handle» of the 15 - 19th centuries was reminiscent of a «hockey stick» — giving rise to the name
describing temperature history.
Both analyses yield a reconstructed Northern Hemisphere
mean temperature history quite similar to that of MBH98, and demonstrate skill against independent 19th century instrumental (2) data (RE = 0.39, 0.33, respectively — only moderately lower than the MBH98 result RE = 0.51).
Published temperature histories for the time period since 1800 that keep changing every few months or couple of years, and always «corrected» to show the problem is even worse than we thought previously.
The ROW trend is much different than the US trends: the most interesting result of this will (in my opinion) be, not so much a major revision of
US temperature history where one already has pretty warm 1930s (but there will be an effect there), but the information on variations in trends resulting from site quality differences than need to be included in ROW calculations and confidence interval calculations.
The
annual temperature history of the United States during the 20th century shows three distinct periods of change: warming from 1900 until about 1940, cooling from 1940 to 1969, and warming from 1970 to the present.
If the only line of evidence that remains in dispute pertains to estimated
millennial temperature histories, then the case for denialism appears extremely weak indeed.
And may Karl, Peterson and NASA's Schmidt et al be exposed and punished for rendering the earths
temperature history useless, compromising genuine scientific discovery and for sullying the reputation of climate science and perhaps all science fields in general.
Phrases with «temperature history»