Sentences with phrase «uncertainty bounds»

And the greater the precision of the data (represented by smaller uncertainty bounds), the higher the consensus.

Yet the «historical» row, which I take to be the aggregate, has very tiny uncertainty bounds.

The observations are well below the prediction, and are pushing the 95 % uncertainty bounds around it.

The «clear sky» upper limit for the CO2 induced increase in evaporation is below the measurement uncertainty bounds.

Now, unlike certain skeptics, I realize that even «plausible» is a fairly strong statement (eg, if I said it was plausible that my current hand of cards * was the highest hand of cards that had been observed at my table in the last 1000 games, that would be a fairly strong statement), but I thought it was somewhat lower than «likely», maybe due to somewhat increased uncertainty bounds?

Mann's data set does not have enough information to verify its «skill» at resolving the past, and has such wide uncertainty bounds as to be no better than the simple mean of the data (p. 91).

In September, the observed CO2 concentration of 401.01 was slightly below our central forecast, but still within our published uncertainty bounds.

The first chart is a regional reconstruction of temperature — using various methods with variable uncertainty bounds — from the PAGES 2K project.

Lower uncertainty bound: 3.53 million km2.

Upper uncertainty bound: 4.97 million km2.

Reconstructions that have poor validation statistics (i.e., low CE) will have correspondingly wide uncertainty bounds, and so can be seen to be unreliable in an objective way.

The details differ (mostly within the uncertainty bounds given by Mann et al, so the difference is not significant), but all published reconstructions share the same basic features: they show relatively warm medieval times, a cooling by a few tenths of a degree Celsius after that, and a rapid warming since the 19th Century.

This is another case where the difficulty in communicating the uncertainty bounds surrounding a forecast create suspicion that those smarty - pants scientists don't know whereof they speak.

In other words, uncertainty bounded by science is a form of knowledge that can help shape smart policies — not an excuse for stasis.

The Bayesian stuff is just to get the uncertainty bounds.

Most of the science news is concerned with stuff at the cutting edge, stuff at the uncertainty bounds, the edge of what we know.