We found the
[urban warming] effect is pretty big in the areas we analyzed.
A review of recent studies published online in December by David Parker of the Met Office concludes that, even allowing for Jones's new data, «global near - surface temperature trends have not been greatly affected by
urban warming trends.»
This is close to the warming of 1.09 °C (0.86 — 1.31 °C) observed in global mean land temperatures over the period 1951 — 2010, which, in contrast to China's recorded temperature change, is only weakly affected
by urban warming influences.
They conclude that «
urban warming does not unduly bias estimates of recent global temperature change.»
We estimate that China's temperature increased by 1.44 °C (90 % confidence interval 1.22 — 1.66 °C) over the period 1961 — 2013 and that
urban warming influences account for about a third of this observed warming, 0.49 °C (0.12 — 0.86 °C).
«We found that
urban warming reduced carbon storage by all of Raleigh's willow oaks by 12 percent, or 27 metric tons per year,» Meineke says.
The analysis failed to detect the
known urban warming at Fairbanks, Alaska (Magee et al. 1999), whereas the analysis using near - surface winds did so
The research on scale insect abundance is published in «
Urban warming trumps natural enemy regulation of herbivorous pests,» which is forthcoming from the journal Ecological Applications.
The researchers then plugged these results into a model to determine the extent to
which urban warming impacted carbon storage for all of the willow oaks in Raleigh.
«Earlier studies have shown that
urban warming increases pest abundance in street trees,» says Emily Meineke, lead author of a paper describing the work.
«Wavelet analysis shows that this
relative urban warming trend was primarily manifested in the form of multi - decadal and interseasonal cycles that are likely attributable to gradual increased winter heating in Ottawa (heat island effects) associated with population growth.
As there are other potential sources of error, such
as urban warming near meteorological stations, many other methods have been used to verify the approximate magnitude of inferred global warming.
The results are consistent with other recent studies from Frank's lab, which showed that two species of scale insects infesting maple and oak benefit
from urban warming.
The research on the overall impact of urban heat on red maples is in «The effects of
urban warming on herbivore abundance and street tree condition,» which was published in PLOS ONE on July 23.
New research from North Carolina State University finds that
urban warming reduces growth and photosynthesis in city trees.
«We wanted to know
how urban warming and pest abundance affect tree growth, since trees pull carbon out of the atmosphere and convert it into biomass.
Indeed, it contradicts Hansen et al., 1999's own (correct) claim quoted above that «[urban cooling] effects are usually outweighed
by urban warming.»!
The new analysis combines sea - surface temperature records with meteorological station measurements and tests alternative choices for ocean records,
urban warming and tropical and Arctic oscillations.
The main reason that 1998 is relatively cooler in the GISS analysis is its larger adjustment for
urban warming.
Re # 4, Hansen et al say «We find evidence of local human effects («
urban warming») even in suburban and small - town surface air temperature records, but the effect is modest in magnitude and conceivably could be an artifact of inhomogeneities in the station records.
Instead of eliminating the urbanization effects, these wrong - way corrections makes
the urban warming trends steeper.
NASA GISS obtain much of their temperature data from the NOAA who adjust the data to filter out primarily time - of - observation bias (although their corrections also include inhomogeneities and
urban warming - more on NOAA adjustments).