Standard
weather models predict the strength and arrival times of storms and weather fronts in a given region.
Multiple
road weather models are currently used around the world, but only few studies are made where the results from different models are compared together.
If short - term
weather models make mistakes, it may seem reasonable to assume that a model projecting into the next century is ridiculous.
Only recently have some
computer weather models begun to use dust data gathered by satellite imagery that captures dust's sweep toward the west coast.
Researchers used a
popular weather model to gauge the wind for better predictions of its clean energy power.
Using virtual experimental tools, students can examine weather patterns and
manipulate weather models to help them to understand how they affect variables at the pond.
These climate models are NOT the same
as weather models, I might add, which is one of the lies spun by many climate skeptics to try to inject uncertainty into the debate.
One of the world's largest ocean circulation systems may not be as stable as today's
weather models predict, according to a new study.
How are we supposed to listen to climate scientists and
weather models making predictions 10 - 100 years from now when we can't get the weather tomorrow right?
JMA is Japan Meteorological Agency data, GISTEMP is the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies data, HadCrut4 is the Met Office data, UAH is a satellite - based record maintained by the University of Alabama Huntsville (more on that below), NCDC is the NOAA data, and NCEP / NCAR is a reanalysis
of weather model data from the National Center for Atmospheric Research.
Researchers begin to tackle the technical obstacles to incorporate observations from space into weather models
«Consequently, global «water vapor winds» are estimated from the movement of these features and used in
numerical weather models to improve long - range forecasts,» Chesters said.
Recent
weather model forecasts are suggesting that we may have to keep an eye on the central Pacific — not only the east Pacific — for re-curving storms this autumn (which is not something I can recall having happened before).
Contours are rainfall totals from the Canadian Precipitation Analysis, which combines
weather model output with station measurements to estimate regional precipitation amounts.
Meanwhile, sophisticated
new weather models — such as one based on sea surface temperatures, developed by researchers at Florida State University — are bringing remarkable improvements in hurricane prediction.
It was also the warmest winter on record across the Arctic, says the National Snow and Ice Data Center, which reported that large areas recorded their «warmest conditions in 67 years of
weather model data, including the northern half of the Greenland ice sheet.»
These are
weather models which have the real world observations assimilated into the solution to provide a «best guess» of the evolution of weather over time (although pre-satellite era estimates (before 1979) are less accurate).
A «reanalysis» is a climate, ocean or
weather model simulation of the past that incorporates data from historical observations.
Our sophisticated
weather models allow us to provide snow forecasts for the top, middle and bottom ski stations of Kicking Horse.
These simulations
combined weather models, fossil fuel and nuclear emissions data, a global fire emissions database, and a terrestrial biosphere model (modeling the amount of carbon that is released from soils and vegetation).
These include the primary surface temperature thermometer records (NASA GISS, NOAA, and HadCRUT); satellite measurements of the lower troposphere temperature processed by Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) and the University of Alabama - Huntsville (UAH); and 5 major reanalysis datasets which incorporate station data, aircraft data, satellite data, radiosonde data, buoy and ship measurements, and
meteorological weather modeling.
One gigantic irony in all this is that the National Weather Service decided to disregard its brand - new very expensive supercomputer - driven
weather modeling system, which actually was just about dead - on perfect in predicting the storm's more easterly track.
«I had been watching
several weather models for several days which had been indicating this area would have an environment capable of supporting supercells, the type of storm responsible for tornadoes,» he says.
Fortunately the European ECMWF
weather models accurately forecasted Sandy's storm track 8 to 9 days in advance due to a better understanding of atmospheric blocking (in this case the high pressure south of Greenland) and the effects of the jet stream.
And sure enough, even the short -
term weather models predicted an easy mild winter — except for a small group of scientists who are not watching for El Nino, or La Nina for answers.
Other data sources were investigated, including the new Berkeley land - ocean temperature data, the MERRA
weather model reanalysis, and satellite radiometer datasets from AIRS and AVHRR.