I find this interesting because it seems that there may be a potential to measure the change
in atmospheric response to solar forcing and an actual response to increased CO2 / CH4.
Regional trends are notoriously problematic for models, and seems more likely to me that the underprediction of European warming has to do with either the modeled ocean temperature pattern, the
modelled atmospheric response to this pattern, or some problem related to the local hydrological cycle and boundary layer moisture dynamics.
For example, there are certain time constants associated
with atmospheric response, upper ocean response, deep ocean response, and so forth.
Peings Y. and G. Magnusdottir (2015)
Wintertime atmospheric response to Atlantic multidecadal variability: Effect of stratospheric representation and ocean — atmosphere coupling.
Other than a
normal atmospheric response to the latest large El Niño temperature surge, the chart documents the continued lack of dangerous positive feedback warming.
The application of composite analyses to investigate the possible impacts of Fd events involves a statistical examination of time -
dependent atmospheric responses to Fds often from aerosol and / or cloud datasets.
The radiative and
atmospheric responses also provide insight into how the top of atmosphere net balance of energy responds to perturbations.
We find that the increase in emissions of inorganic aerosol precursors is much larger than the corresponding aerosol increase, reflecting a
non-linear atmospheric response.
Consistency and discrepancy in
the atmospheric response to Arctic sea - ice loss across climate models.
But as climate simulations haven't yet parsed out
the atmospheric response to the loss of sea ice, its influence on Eurasian winters remains a question mark.
To arrive at their results, the researchers combined observations from the past century with climate simulations of
the atmospheric response to the AMO.
The atmospheric response to three decades of observed Arctic sea ice loss.
Saturn's stratospheric beacons (
atmospheric responses to the storm plumes deep below in the troposphere) are still present to this day.
Osborne, J. M., Screen, J. A. & Collins, M. Ocean — atmospheric state dependence of
the atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice loss.
Alexander, M.A., et al., 2004:
The atmospheric response to realistic Arctic sea ice anomalies in an AGCM during winter.
Other successful projections include modeling
the atmospheric response to the Pinatubo eruption.
I know of no climate scientist who would do experiments fixing land temperatures and observing
the atmospheric response, and with good reason.
It is simply physically wrong to specify sea surface temperatures and observe
the atmospheric response for any phenomenon whose time scale is more than a few months.
Finally, moving to
the atmospheric response to the AMOC slowdown, you might want to be more careful and also quote other studies (including analyses of decadal hindcast experiments) that do not find a strong or robust atmospheric response to the AMO SST pattern.
Arctic sea ice thickness variability and its influence on
the atmospheric response to projected sea ice loss.
[2] Labe, Z.M., Y. Peings, and G. Magnusdottir (2018), Contributions of ice thickness to
the atmospheric response from projected Arctic sea ice loss, accepted to GRL [Code][Plain Language Summary]
[1] Here we show that the phase of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) modulates
the atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice loss.
A more definitive reconciliation of modeled and observed temperature changes awaits the extension and improvement of the observations and the algorithms used in processing them, better specification of the natural and human - induced climate forcings during this period, and improvement of the models used to simulate
the atmospheric response to these forcings.break
To isolate
the atmospheric response (signal) from internal variability (noise), we run 100 iterations (known as ensembles) for each experiment.
Other hypotheses, predict the opposite — that
the atmospheric response will counteract the CO2 increase and result in insignificant changes in global temperature.