Long - term
historical factor returns are perhaps the most widely accepted way to estimate factor premiums (expected returns), both in the literature and in the practitioner community.
We also observe the relatively strong correlation between value and
investment factor returns, which suggests that in combination the two factors may be redundant.
Smart beta ETF investors seem to ignore empirical evidence Excess returns from smart beta are substantially different
from factor returns Smart beta ETFs offer little diversification for an equity - centric portfolio INTRODUCTION Assets under management in smart beta products surpassed $ 1 trillion in
Using monthly returns for 3,292 actively managed mutual funds focused on U.S. stocks and contemporaneous market, size, book - to - market and
momentum factor returns during March 1993 to December 2014, they find that: Keep Reading
Examples include updating and correcting the number of shares outstanding in past periods and changes in the treatment of deferred taxes described in FASB 109, i.e.,
factor returns published after August 2016 no longer add Deferred Taxes and Investment Tax Credit to BE for fiscal years ending in 1993 or later.
In our recent research paper, «Harvesting Equity Yield», we examined yield
factor returns for the 88 - year period ended July 2015.
Value has turned in the strongest
excess factor returns over the past 10 years, while momentum and quality delivered the highest excess returns over the past year (as of 3/31/18)
Using data needed to form factor portfolios and measure
factor returns in U.S. dollars across asset classes from the end of January 2001 through the end of December 2016, they find that:
Similarly, Asness et al. (2015) find a
strong factor return from a small - size factor after controlling for the quality characteristics of the issuing companies.
SUMMARY Smart beta ETFs are based on factor investing research Excess returns from smart beta ETFs are different from
factor returns Investors need to be aware that smart beta ETFs offer little diversification for an equity - centric portfolio INTRODUCTION Blackrock, a provider of active and passive
Exhibit 2 shows summary statistics of the four dividend indices regressed on Fama -
French factor returns including market beta (Mkt - rf), small size (SMB), value (HML), and momentum (MOM).
Calculate gross trend momentum
factor return as the difference in average (equal - weighted) actual returns between quintiles / deciles with the highest and lowest expected returns.
They address how to: (1) specify the risk factors driving returns in global financial markets; (2)
estimate factor returns and volatilities; and, (3) construct an optimal portfolio of factors.
Leroy Fer had put the Welsh side ahead in the eighth minute as a fee -
good factor returned to the Liberty Stadium and eased the pressure on Francesco Guidolin but things turned sour for the hosts after the break.
The Institutionalization of Individual Behavioral Biases The good news is that style returns or
factor returns appear to be predictable.
Substantial evidence
supports factor return predictability, yet evidence also indicates that investors are not reaping, to the greatest extent possible, the excess returns commensurate with such knowledge.
The negative correlations of the forecasts of both Models 1 and 2 with
subsequent factor returns imply that factors with great past performance are likely overpriced and are likely to perform poorly in the future.4
Using monthly returns and firm fundamentals for a broad sample of U.S. stocks, and contemporaneous stock return
model factor returns, during July 1963 through December 2012, they find that: Keep Reading
Using monthly returns for 2,132 dead and 992 live hedge funds encompassing nine investment styles, and
contemporaneous factor returns, during January 1994 through April 2014, they find that: Keep Reading
Using fund categories, monthly fund star ratings and returns, and asset
class factor returns during January 2003 through December 2015, they find that: Keep Reading
They apply
standard factor return decomposition found in the academic literature with the result that value and size are responsible for most of the outperformance.
Beyond establishing a link between valuation and subsequent return, our «Look Before You Leap» and «Alice in Factorland» (Arnott, Clements, and Kalesnik [2017] and Arnott, Kalesnik, and Wu [2017]-RRB- series of articles show that investors can quantitatively forecast
future factor returns based on a factor's current relative valuation.
Personally I would take the max 401k loan to do REI as well, because I can create way better returns than the
risk factored returns of the stock market along with being able to force / create / benefit from increased equity, tax advantages, and cash flow.
Using fund names and monthly fund returns, fund assets and
factor returns for alpha calculations during 1993 through 2014 (7,072 distinct funds), they find that: Keep Reading
When we select based on the correlation of a fund's value - add over the market
with factor returns, we observe that the mutual funds with high correlations to the market and to the momentum factor are the worst performers in the list with average underperformance of − 0.4 % and − 2.1 % a year, respectively (− 0.4 % and − 1.4 % a year, respectively, for the second measure).
A frequent criticism of factor investing is that
factor returns are stronger in small caps Our research highlights that this is not uniformly true across factors Value and Size benefit most from including small caps INTRODUCTION Factor investing can be challenged in many ways.
It's important to
factor your return on investment, not just the investment itself.
The analysis is based on asset returns for the entered mutual funds and ETFs, and
the factor returns published on Kenneth French's web site and AQR's web site.
The good news for individual investors is — being free to act outside of institutional decision - making processes — they are more apt to make decisions that allow them to benefit from long - term mean reversion in
factor returns.
* Excess
factor returns are factor returns after subtracting market beta (i.e., the returns of a market index).
The correlations across
these factor returns are predominantly low or negative, with an average cross-correlation of 0.08, suggesting they are independent and thus able to provide strong diversification benefits.
Finally,
the factor returns demonstrated by academics using long — short portfolios offer an unrealistic assessment of the returns an investor is likely to earn in practice.