Our forecast of a 100 — 110 % increase
in global crop production by 2050 is larger than the 70 % increase that has been projected for this same period (10).
The tremendous improvement
in global crop production and worldwide growing conditions during recent decades is one of the most important yet least reported news events of our time.
Any projection of
future global crop production entails many elements of uncertainty and of necessity emphasizes some potentially causative factors over others.
One study, for example, calculated that over the 50 - year period of 1961 to 2010, the direct monetary benefits atmospheric CO2 enrichment conferred on
global crop production amounted to a staggering $ 3.2 trillion.
He said a study he authored on pollinators found that, as of 2015, 5 % to 8 % of
current global crop production was attributable to pollinators, translating to an economic value of between $ 235 billion to $ 577 billion.
Since the different methods point to very similar impacts, it improves our confidence in estimating temperature impact
on global crop production.»
«It's the first time that a scientific study compared different methods of estimating temperature impacts on
global crop production.
The United Nations predicts that
global crop production will need to increase by 70 percent on the land we're currently using by the year 2050 in order to feed the world population.
If such targets were to go global by 2050, meeting them would consume crops with an energy content equivalent to roughly 30 percent of the energy in today's
global crop production.
With climate change likely to exacerbate extreme weather and make it more common in the future, the study is perhaps the most comprehensive examination yet of the historic impact of extreme weather on
global crop production.
Pointing to estimates that the current value of the carbon dioxide fertilisation effect on
global crop production is about $ 140 billion a year, he notes that this additional production has helped reduce hunger and advance human well - being.