Thus, we take 4.5 °C as our best estimate for LGM cooling, implying an amplification of surface temperature change by a factor of two relative to deep
ocean temperature change for this climate interval.
GISS produces two estimates — the met station index (which does not cover a lot of the oceans), and a land - ocean index (which uses
satellite ocean temperature changes in addition to the met stations).
With this study, Severinghaus and colleagues have shown that measurements of noble gases in the atmosphere provide the historical record long sought by the scientific community, and can be further optimized to gain insights into modern
ocean temperature changes as well.
Forest et al. 2006 compares observations of multiple surface, upper air and deep -
ocean temperature changes with simulations thereof by the MIT 2D climate model run at many climate parameter settings.
The indirect and substantial role of the oceans in causing the recent continental warming emphasizes the need to generate reliable projections of
ocean temperature changes over the next century, in order to generate more reliable projections of not just the global mean temperature and precipitation changes (Barsugli et al. 2006), but also regional climate changes.»
«Our study shows that large - scale upper -
ocean temperature changes provide a good way to distinguish decade - long natural ocean signals from longer - term global warming signals,» said Nieves.
The consequences of changes in atmospheric heating from land changes at a regional scale are similar to those from
ocean temperature changes such as from El Niño, potentially producing patterns of reduced or increased cloudiness and precipitation elsewhere to maintain global energy balance.
«deep
ocean temperature change does not provide a good indication of surface temperature change when the deep ocean approaches the freezing point, as quantified by Waelbroeck et al. (2002).
Atmospheric model simulations of the last half - century with prescribed
observed ocean temperature changes, but without prescribed GHG changes, account for most of the land warming.
The observed pattern of
ocean temperature change created a propensity for drought in some regions around the globe — perhaps including California, which has been experiencing drought conditions more often than not over the past decade and a half.
So if 1 % of the heat from global warming is manifested in air temperatures, and 93 % in manifested in
ocean temperature changes according to the IPCC, why do you think it is up to «tom0mason» to «prove» that the oceans are the control knob, since he is just reaffirming what even the IPCC already effectively says?
New research published this week in the Journal of Climate reveals that one key measurement — large - scale upper -
ocean temperature changes caused by natural cycles of the ocean — is a good indicator of regional coastal sea level changes on these decadal timescales.
The question is, which is a better estimate for this; the met station index (which does not cover a lot of the oceans), or the land - ocean index (which uses satellite
ocean temperature changes in addition to the met stations)?
Gregory et al. (2002) used observed interior -
ocean temperature changes, surface temperature changes measured since 1860, and estimates of anthropogenic and natural radiative forcing of the climate system to estimate its climate sensitivity.
For example, Frame et al. (2005) and Andronova and Schlesinger (2000) use surface air temperature alone, while Forest et al. (2002, 2006), Knutti et al. (2002, 2003) and Gregory et al. (2002a) use both surface air temperature and
ocean temperature change to constrain climate sensitivity.
Since the year 2000, land temperature changes are 50 percent greater in the United States than
ocean temperature changes; two to three times greater in Eurasia; and three to four times greater in the Arctic and the Antarctic Peninsula.
Ocean temperature change, however, reached a lower limit, probably because the freezing point of sea water put a restriction on how cold the deep ocean could get.
Why glaciers in Franz Josef Land have been shrinking more rapidly between 2011 and 2015 than in previous decades is possibly related to
ocean temperature changes.»
In addition, climate scientists have been able to quantify
the ocean temperature changes back to 1960 on the basis of the much sparser historical instrument record [Cheng et al., 2017].
Phrases with «ocean temperature change»