He explains how he once thought that climate change theory was based
solely on computer models, where in fact it's based on scientific measurements of both modern and ancient climates.
We're not told the research is based
on computer models built on completely inadequate data whose predictions are consistently incorrect.
Previously, we could get some idea of future climates by observing and analysing the patterns of the past but the changes we can expect in the future will be so much greater than anything we have hitherto experienced, that these methods will not be adequate and we shall need to rely much more
on computer models which take in the full complexity of the climate system.
The impacts I listed above are not based
on computer model projections of what things will look like in 100 years, they are things that the average person can see and witness right now.
Although meteorologists now rely
heavily on computer models (numerical weather prediction), it is still relatively common to use techniques and conceptual models that were developed before computers were powerful enough to make predictions accurately or efficiently.
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The study, based
on a computer model used to simulate rainfall under different land - use conditions, found that cutting down tropical forests in West Africa reduces precipitation over neighboring forest areas by about 50 percent due to increased temperatures over cropland areas.
[The weather] information's based
on computer models out of America, which is sort of marginal value, and they don't have any local information.
The company spent tens of millions of
dollars on computer modeling, cutting - edge seismological tools, and exploratory drilling; just renting the drill rig cost Chevron and its partners more than $ 200,000 a day.
Now, a follow - up investigation based
on computer modeling shows those supernovae likely exposed biology on our planet to a long - lasting gust of cosmic radiation, which also affected the atmosphere.
It
centres on a computer model they developed to compare the carbon emissions that would be saved by converting the world's available supplies of plant waste into either biofuel or biochar.
Many of the same scientists who helped with this study have worked with
Asseng on computer models to simulate crop growth and yield, particularly for wheat.
Using
variations on their computer model, «we have already computed the shape of red blood cells, soap bubble clusters and the evolution of polycrystalline materials,» he says.
While investment advisers have relied for
years on computer models to fine tune their clients» portfolios of mutual funds, for example, the advent of fully automated investing services emerged just in the last five years.
Dr. Patel's response was, «They actually have simulated videogames to even simulate surgeries, so they're actually training people how to do
surgeries on a computer model before — so for that reason, too.
«Imagine basing a country's energy and economic policy on an incomplete, unproven theory — a theory based entirely
on computer models in which one minor variable (CO2) is considered the sole driver for the entire global climate system.»
They are not alone as all parts of climate science lack data, use estimated data, rely
on computer model output based on no data, and ignore natural causes of weather and climate change.
It's a pity that some of the loot splashed
around on computer models and the like isn't made available for the kind of work that you do.