Sentences with phrase «regression to the mean»

This finding raised some concern of regression to the mean producing any subsequent experimental effects.
It means schools are being left out because those in charge of policy simply don't understand the halo effect, or relatively simple concepts such as regression to the mean.
When the inevitable regression to the mean occurs, this can be portrayed as a recovery.
This is a manifestation of the mechanism called regression to the mean....
If that was the case, it's rare to see such a violent regression to the mean.
When you cut through the chaos and look through the clear eyes of objective data, Game 4 was the ultimate regression to the mean.
For instance, a reasonable expectation based on forward price - to - earnings data might be a 25 % bearish downturn whenever regression to the mean comes to pass.
The great leader understands the statistical concept of regression to the mean.
They play the game of relative value, by using strategies such as regression to the mean.
This tendency for trends to flip with the passage of time is called regression to the mean.
Then there might be some protection on the downside with some undetermined probability, however slight, of regression to the mean in terms of earnings.
Even factoring in regression to the mean from certain players, this team looks really fucking good.
The whole managed futures universe has performed so abysmally that you have to wonder if regression to the mean is about to rescue some of the surviving funds.
With so many cheap stocks to choose from in 2009, even value managers who didn't want to buy financials could easily build a portfolio full of cheap stocks and wait for regression to the mean.
«It bears repeating that most investors extrapolate past performance, expecting the continuation of trends rather than the far - more - dependable regression to the mean.
A home - heavy schedule, excellent basketball by Bradley prior to an enormous regression to the mean, excellent basketball from Tobias before a similar but substantially smaller regression, hot shooting by Tolliver, Ish (for him) and Galloway, an offense that opponents hadn't already totally figured out, and overall solid health (sans perhaps Bradley's pre-absence groin injury, which was of unspecified severity).
Betting experts wonder about regression to the mean as Texas Nick Martinez had a 0.35 ERA in his first four starts but 4.22 the last two.
Price and his colleague Colleen Kelly, a statistician at Victoria University in Wellington, New Zealand, worry that sportscasters aren't the only ones who overlook regression to the mean.
It is impossible to predict what next week or next year will look like, but you ignore at your own peril the concept of regression to the mean over the next ten - to twenty - years.
The big danger here is that you just end up following the crowd and doing what Munger talks about here: «Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean (merely average performance).»
Michael Buchanan should have been betting on regression to the mean; instead, he bet against it.
Assuming that there is no relevant news, a hedge fund would buy the stock that is down and short the stock that is up and rely upon regression to the mean to fix this disparity in time.
Interesting posts responding to my comment on skill v. luck though I think luck in the form of regression to the mean plays a bigger role than you ascribe it, even in long - term results.
Sure, you'll have years where you earn double and even triple the market return, but regression to the mean shows that your extraordinary gains will come back to the average over time.
The rationale was regression to the mean rather than price to book; I originally felt that all those portfolio managers who dumped the stock at $ 30 because the company was under investigation, would find it attractive again at $ 60 when the investigation was resolved, the settlement made and operations returned to normal.
1) The graph shows a multi year average of the GISS temperature record, thereby eliminating (by regression to the mean) some of the lower temperature values in the twenty first century;
We also carried out analyses to examine the effect of potential influence of regression to the mean arising from the fact that high injury numbers might have been a factor in the decision to implement a 20 mph zone in some areas.
You can say it's just regression to the mean, but, even that, Sixers need to do better on defense.
This tendency toward mediocrity — sometimes called the Sports Illustrated jinx because an athlete is likely to enter a career lull after appearing on the cover — is a variation on a mathematical principle known as regression to the mean.
By the way, kids never score above their potential; they're just not going to randomly make enough lucky right answers time after time after time (in statistics, it's called regression to the mean).
Needless to say, such anecdotal evidence is worthless, and the examples described in the preceding links are likely to be cases of regression to the mean.
Over a long enough time period such effects tend to cancel out (a phenomenon called «regression to the mean»), thus it is unlikely that a firm is consistently high performing just because of chance events.»
A contrarian might look at these data points and expect a regression to the mean.
When this takes place it is commonly referred to as the regression to the mean.
Regression to the mean was simply going to happen, and boy, did it happen.
Either it'll be a new normal for the player (which is not predictable) or it'll be a regression to the mean.
The combination of luck's regression to the mean, a skill corps reset, and Amato's retirement will probably tamp down Akron's potential in the short term.
Imbalance (and regression to the mean) cost them at times, and they lost tight games to North Dakota State, Northwestern, and Wisconsin.
Regression to the mean...
A&M has been tremendous at it — to the point where some regression to the mean could be expected — and Arkansas has not.
We don't anticipate that this system will continue winning at an 80 % rate, but you shouldn't expect a regression to the mean.
Although West Coast teams have covered the spread at a high rate over the past few seasons, this seems like a regression to the mean.
Perhaps we're seeing some regression to the mean.
1) Regression to the mean.
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