As well as the obvious point that councils spend billions of pounds on important public services, an unexpectedly good or
bad local election result can have an important psychological effect on a party.
Two years ago I developed a simple statistical model that tries to predict the outcome of general elections
from local election results.
Many people who are angry about spending cuts seem to have had a particularly satisfying night, constantly tweeting their delight at ever - worse Lib
Dem local election results.
Some
see local election results as pointers for the coming national political fights, but others say they are more about council tax and bins and other services.
Jeremy Corbyn was today warned «the clock is ticking» on his leadership after the worst set of
local election results for an Opposition party in decades.
Last night's
local election results show the party has fallen back even further in London than before and have been pushed back into third and fourth place by Ukip in the North and elsewhere.
Ed Miliband's party is continuing to make solid gains across England,
as local election results continue to hammer the coalition's Conservative and Liberal Democrats.
In a number of Labour targets, constituency polls and
local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough of a lead (and sometimes none at all) over the Conservative incumbent.
Local election results so far show the Conservatives have made a net gain of 27 seats across the West Midlands region, with Labour losing control of Nuneaton and Bedworth Council.
Despite a strong showing in some held councils, Liberal Democrats are today reflecting on another bitterly disappointing set of
local election results with the number of Lib Dem councillors likely to fall below 3000 for the first time ever.
However, if they're going to print leaflets with the last
local election result on it saying Labour can't win here, what is wrong printing a leaflet with the last general election result on it saying the libs can't win here.
WAMC's Dr. Alan Chartock discusses
local election results across the region, what they mean for Republicans, and the event with Harry Belafonte this Saturday.
And after last week's
poor local election result for Labour, she got into ANOTHER maths related gaffe when she said labour only lost 50 seats - when it was 125.
Silvio Berlusconi's People of Freedom coalition is heading for a decisive win over the centre - left Democratic Party which is still reeling from the disastrous
local election results which forced the resignation of opposition leader Walter Veltroni.
While some ask
what local election results tell us about the state of the parties and prospects for the next general election, it is also important to consider how national party popularity affects the fortunes of candidates in local government elections.
The May YouGov poll for the Daily Telegraph puts Gordon Brown's party on 23 per cent, slipping three per cent in the wake of
disastrous local election results and the Crewe and Nantwich by - election defeat.
Much of the parliamentary party, and most Labour supporters, will be bewildered by what is going on - by the eruption of passion that drove Mr Purnell from the cabinet even before the
first local election result was in and which led Ms Blears to leave as Britain prepared to vote.
Of course using
different local election results produces different predictions, but note that for all three parties the confidence intervals of both predictions overlap.
Arguably, the happenstance of
dreadful local elections results for both Coalition parties and the presidential election victory of Parti Socialiste candidate Francois Hollande shifts both British and European politics respectively to the Left.
Despite the dire polls and the equally
dire local election results, some 64 % of Labour's post GE2015 membership believe Labour is likely to win the next general election — a figure which rises to 77 % of those who joined after Corbyn became leader.
David Cameron has insisted that the coalition is «as important and necessary today as it was two year ago» as he and Nick Clegg launched a fightback in the wake of
grim local election results for their respective parties.
Asked about the scrutiny Ukip was now being subject to ahead of what are expected to be
impressive local election results, former Liberal Democrat leader Ming Campbell said: «Welcome to test cricket.»
The Ipsos Mori polling comes hours after a polling exprt warned that Labour is set to lose scores of councillors in its worst
local election result while in opposition in decades.
He'd be better off getting his head down, winning some
respectable local election results, giving the impression of upwards movement, and then talking up the chance of defections in a couple of years.
Follow the 2014
local elections results live as more than 4,000 councillors are elected in England across metropolitan boroughs, unitary authorities, non-metropolitan districts and in every seat in every London borough.
Addressing the North Wales Policy Forum in Llandudno the weekend before last, he congratulated the party on a string of
excellent local election results and even raised the prospect of the party winning a second seat in Wales at June's European Parliament elections.
• Ukip's Black Death metaphor may be more prescient than any complacency about the party's
abysmal local election results (Ukip: Like the Black Death, we'll be back, says official, 5 May).
One of the problems with the
Bristol local election results in the past has been their bizarre arrangement of having 2 member wards on a 3 year cycle.