This was the highest Conservative
vote in any seat at a general election since a 75.7 % share in Kensington South in 1970.
Although the
Conservative vote in these seats was only fractionally down since the general election, a 4 - point drop in the Liberal Democrat share exclusively benefited Labour.
But if we take English seats - Scotland's battle lines are different, while the politics of Plaid in Wales are complicated - and combine the Labour, Lib Dem and
Green votes in each seat from 2015 on one side, and Tory and Ukip votes on the other, then the Tories in fact do better than before.
There was evidence of
tactical voting in some seats - Labour held threatened London seats Islington South and Westminster North by increasing its share of the vote at the expense of the Liberal Democrats.
Some of these Independent candidates are former representatives of existing political parties: for example, the ex-Labour MP Tony Clarke is standing in his old seat of Northampton South (which should helpfully split the Left
wing vote in the seat being defended by Conservative MP Brian Binley), whilst John Stevens, who is challenging John Bercow in Buckingham, is an ultra-europhile former Tory MEP who set up the Pro-Euro Conservative Party before joining the Liberal Democrats.
In the seats that Labour already held there was a swing towards Labour — in short, Labour won votes in places where they were of no use to them, piling up
useless votes in seats they already held.
One would suppose that most of the
LD vote in a seat like this is left - leaning and that therefore Labour should win quite comfortably in 2015.
They face losing their seats to LAB by small margins (predicted 4 - 10 % because of a significant
UKIP vote in the seat).
In the south London seat of Tooting, Sadiq Khan only increased his lead by 300
votes in a seat where a much stronger result was expected.
It was a despairing result for the junior government partner, which once took more than 25 % of
the vote in the seat.
While no party wants to lose its deposit, I suspect the 352
votes in a seat that Labour have held since the 1930s won't be concerning the Lib Dem hierarchy too much.
Graham — The share of
the vote in these seats at the last election would have been CON 38.1 %, LAB 30.8 %, LDEM 24.5 %, Others 6.6 %.
Douglas Alexander told Good Morning Britain: «We actually increased our share of
the vote in the seat last night.
We actually increased our share of
the vote in the seat last night.
Collectively
the vote in these seats was CON 37 %, LAB 37 %, LDEM 18 %, UKIP 3 % at the last general election.
At the last election
the vote in these seats was CON 37 %, LAB 37 %.
If
their vote in those seats now collapses, it's likely they'll go overwhelmingly Tory.
The UK Independence party, which has historically put in a lacklustre performance in local elections, has been averaging 13 % of
the vote in the seats it contested — five points higher than a year ago — making 2012 a record year for Nigel Farage's Eurosceptics.