Sentences with phrase «climate sensitivity»
"Climate sensitivity" refers to how much the Earth's climate might change in response to an increase in greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. It measures how sensitive or responsive the climate system is to these changes. A high climate sensitivity means that even small increases in greenhouse gases could lead to significant alterations in temperature, rainfall patterns, and other climate conditions. Full definition
Well, it's simply the estimate of climate sensitivity for the present climate — how much would you expect the planet to warm if you doubled CO2?
realclimate.org
First, we must consider the distribution of climate sensitivity estimates.
In your view, what is the likely value for climate sensitivity for global warming from doubling of CO2?
Let us hope that a lower climate sensitivity of 2.5 degrees C turns out to be correct.
Was this due to a particularly high climate sensitivity of this model?
The warming is also consistent with climate sensitivities estimated from warming events in the historical past, and in the paleo record.
Some parts of the media have interpreted low climate sensitivity as evidence that emissions cuts aren't urgent after all.
In every case we arrive at this same climate sensitivity range of 2 to 4.5 °C, and the most likely value is 3 °C for a doubling of atmospheric CO2.
The key is to redo their work, use a series of models with a wide range of climate sensitivity parameters... you know what to do.
Others say that we need to act even if climate sensitivity lies at the low end of the scale, since coastal areas would still be threatened by rising seas, for example.
What's more, the slowdown meant that simple estimates of climate sensitivity based on the recent temperature record were lower.
These different measures put the likely value of climate sensitivity at about 2 - 4 °C per doubling of CO2.
[Response: Our interest in the «effective climate sensitivity» is very close to zero.
One major avenue of research strives to determine climate sensitivity by comparing varying CO2 concentrations with past climate change.
Why does «radiative forcing» work as method for comparing different physical impacts on the climate, and why you can't calculate climate sensitivity just by looking at the surface energy budget.
But it does point to a number of climate sensitivity studies — empirical and otherwise — within the last few years.
So in all its projections IPCC assumes climate sensitivity is still > 3 °C.
If the 3 C climate sensitivity value were to prove correct, then that would imply global warming of between 1.5 and 3 degrees Celsius.
We have no direct observations of equilibrium climate sensitivity so we have to rely on some form of theory or indirect observations from paleo, at least in part.
The bulk of recent research still suggests climate sensitivity values close to the most established numbers, numbers that have been around for many years.
If the cooling from 1940 - 1970 was from aerosols then climate sensitivity to CO2 might be high enough to be worried about.
After having skeptics bang on for weeks that observations show climate sensitivity is less than thought!
As these figures show, estimates from both models and observational data consistently find that the most likely climate sensitivity value is approximately 3 °C for a doubling of CO2.
However, they've also made egregious errors and their work simply hasn't stood up, especially as regards key issues like climate sensitivity.
Additionally, recent research has suggested that the true climate sensitivity lies on the high end of that range.