Sentences with phrase «contrarian bet»

It was an excellent start to the season for many contrarian betting strategies.

The table below displays the value of contrarian betting at three key data points.

It was also a terrible week for contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 50 % of spread bets posting a 3 - 10 ATS record.

As it turns out, contrarian betting continues to be a profitable strategy.

Our industry contacts and analytical tools allowed us to focus on «bigger games» with national focus — leading to more contrarian betting value.

In the past, I have highlighted several profitable contrarian betting strategies that include our betting percentages, most of which involve exploiting public perception.

Remember, our goal is to employ contrarian betting strategies in order to identify teams or plays offering value.

There are many staples to contrarian betting which we see applied across all six major sports leagues.

It was also a nice week for contrarian betting as teams receiving less than 50 % of spread bets went 9 - 5 ATS this week.

This is particularly interesting because it's the most profitable month during the regular season, however, in the past we've discussed why contrarian betting is particularly lucrative during the postseason.

The basic philosophy revolves around contrarian betting; finding value betting against the public.

Less than 10 % of bettors are on the draw, which appears to be a great contrarian bet for tonight considering the reverse - line movement.

This is a simple contrarian betting strategy that has proven profitable year to year.

Even at the optimal level of contrarian betting, this strategy doesn't cover the spread at a high enough rate to overcome the standard juice charged by sportsbooks.

Our research revealed that the most profitable spot for contrarian betting was when teams are receiving less than 35 % of spread bets at our seven contributing sportsbooks.

The table below, using line data from Pinnacle, shows performance of contrarian betting on NFL playoff games since 2003.

With the World Series over, keep your browser pointed to SportsInsights, where our NHL & NBA contrarian betting systems have gotten off to a good start (a combined +11 units in their respective early seasons.).

Your analysis, coupled with insights NFL and MLB contrarian bet signals has made for a very successful run over the past 4 - 5 months.

If you have an ESPN Insider account, you can take a look at David's most recent contrarian betting article posted on ESPN chalk.

Past research has found the sweet spot for NBA contrarian betting comes at the 30 % threshold.

Also noteworthy is the value of contrarian betting during the NBA Finals.

We've showed time and again here in DailyWealth that this idea is a great way to figure out the pulse of a market and make contrarian bets at extremes.

At Sports Insights, our basic philosophy has always involved contrarian betting.

Contrarian betting means taking ugly dogs and the Swans qualify.

College Football This NCAAF contrarian betting system has gone 205 - 163 ATS (+31.99 units) since 2005.

The entire text of the article can be found here: NFL Contrarian Betting Article — SportsInsights

This year's NHL Betting Against the Public article details the profitable points for contrarian betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on investment.

We were also able to create a very basic contrarian betting system for Sunday Night action.

A key factor when formulating any type of system is consistency, and below is just a broad sample of how contrarian betting is essential at this time of year.

So how has contrarian betting fared this season?

The Ravens also fit several profitable strategies including our ESPN contrarian betting systems from Week 6, Week 9 and Week 16.

At the time of publication, Kentucky is receiving 60 % of spread bets as a 19 - point favorite for Thursday's game against Georgia, so be sure to keep an eye on the betting trends and spread for this game for a possible contrarian betting opportunity.

Knowing that home teams and favorites have been historically overvalued, our first step in creating a new contrarian betting system was to focus on road underdogs.

If this pattern continues, keep an eye on Kansas State for a potential Contrarian Betting opportunity.

The Heisman Trophy winner will be announced on Saturday but, with the conclusion of the regular season, there's limited opportunity for college football contrarian betting this weekend.

If you're new to Sports Insights, we recommend starting with Pro as it comes with our formulas and analysis in the form of smart money & steam moves, contrarian betting plays and our Best Bets.

As you can see, contrarian betting becomes profitable at the 25 % threshold, yet our return on investment (ROI) more than triples when focusing on teams receiving less than 20 % of spread bets.

As you can see, our sweet spot for NHL contrarian betting comes when visitors are receiving less than 35 % of moneyline bets.

Earlier this week we contributed an article to ESPN Insider which detailed where contrarian betting value lies during college football game season.

In this article, we show that a simple method of using Sports Insights» «Betting Percentages» and «Number of Bets» to help select underdogs can capture contrarian betting value.