Sentences with phrase «term predictions»

But perhaps what I should have said was «reliably accurate long term predictions of chaotic phenomena like weather, politics, or social change».

The long - term prediction for stocks is much less reliable, but it's still useful to have a viewpoint to help guide your investment strategy.

What's your realistic short - term and long - term predictions in this space, and do you think there is still viable potential here?

Those who believe in the dominant influence of CO2 could qualify their longer term predictions with a CO2 forecast and a + / - allowance for any departure from that expectation.

You can not trust short term predictions based on numbers alone.

Such a long term prediction depends too much on human action to be able to predict.

I don't like predictions, and I'll never make short term predictions, but I'll venture a wild guess about the next decade.

I would be inclined to agree with hunter, that the models are useful for studying many aspects of climate, but as yet unproven for long term prediction.

Also, perhaps I'm misunderstanding the methodology you've described, but I find the idea of delivering short term predictions from AR4 models a little strange, based on previous discussions made here about the Cox and Stephenson's «sweet spot» of climate model simulations of ~ 20 - 50 years.

He uses history to debunk long - term prediction models and shows the common sense of looking at markets through the long lens of history.

Therefore, it is difficult to make any long - term predictions until it is clear how much of this vote represented a protest and how much was a call for more far right policies and politics.

Peterson isn't sure how engineers will use the new information, but he says the agency couldn't be confident in longer term predictions when so many factors — the price of oil, the actions of regulators — could influence earthquake rates.

Filed Under: Daily Investing Tip Tagged With: Investing, investment strategy, Long Term Investing, short term predictions Editorial Disclaimer: Opinions expressed here are author's alone, not those of any bank, credit card issuer, airlines or hotel chain, or other advertiser and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any of these entities.

What makes long - term predictions so difficult in general is the appearance of disruptive technologies, which almost by definition are unforeseeable.

«Current long term predictions indicate that these extreme weather variations will continue and situations such as the current flood events, and disruption caused, underline how adequate maintenance and funding of the network must be a fundamental part of UK transport policy.

And as far as short - term predictions go, it isn't as hard as Berra suggests.

Juicy Excerpt: Many investors are not impressed by the 35 years of peer - reviewed research showing that long - term predictions always work.

I know right now inflation is really high, but for a long term prediction doesn't the BoC's inflation rate target of 1 - 3 % mean a 2 % inflation rate is a suitable estimate?

However, unlike the mainstream model, it does make a specific short - term prediction distinct from the null, and is therefore testable and hence «scientific».

I don't think Joel Kuni's idea quite adds up in the form he presented it, but certainly a long term prediction designed to test the climate science would have to be conditional on GHGs.

So while it may be theoretically possible to predict long - scale climate changes, it may still be impossible to discern the true drivers of these climate systems amidst the chaos, making the long - term prediction problem moot.

Yet, this may undermine long term predictions as confidence wanes.

«Stronger short - term expectations for U.S. home prices are a sign of the persistent inventory challenges facing first - time and move - up homebuyers, but experts» long - term predictions suggest that buyers will have more bargaining power in the years ahead,» Loebs says.

They are so alike that the global financial giant Deutsche Bank lured Sugihara away from academia for a time; there, from 1996 to 2001, he successfully used the analytical techniques that he would later call on for his sardine work to make short - term predictions about market fluctuations.

but does little to enable accurate prediction of near or long term prediction of future temps.

Even if uncertain factors such as undefined dynamics remain, so long as they are stationary, the long term prediction with certain uncertain range is different from unpredictable random series.

Easterbrook added that his long - term prediction until the end of century is «a lot more nebulous» due to the still - unknown effect of the sun, which has entered a «grand solar minimum» occurring every 200 years.

Sala added that some of the more dramatic changes to the grasslands did not occur until later in the study, proving how important long - term studies are, as well as the difficulty of making long - term predictions based on short - term experimentation.

Though, as I also said, there's probably some interesting work to be done with short - term prediction when the effects of CO2 are comparable to both the decline in sunlight and natural variability.

Filed Under: Daily Investing Tip Tagged With: Investing, Long Term Investing, short term predictions Editorial Disclaimer: Opinions expressed here are author's alone, not those of any bank, credit card issuer, airlines or hotel chain, or other advertiser and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any of these entities.

I said: «Such a long term prediction depends too much on human action to be able to predict.»

My point is that if an organisation with one of the biggest supercomputers in the world can not forecast the conditions 12 hours ahead for a 5 km grid area, what hope is there for a long term prediction on a 1 km scale?