Over land, values of the relative humidity of surface air are determined quite directly
from observational records for regions where plentiful observations of surface air humidity were made.
He said this study tried to build out a stronger
observational record by using daily weather data and found a «really robust» relationship.
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other atmospheric scientists this week, it became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of natural variability that affects winter weather patterns, and the very short
observational record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of sea ice (only five winters of records since 2007).
The possible two - year gap in coverage due to the delayed launch of the JPSS, says Trenberth, will cause critical discontinuity
in observational records vital for monitoring global climate trends.
The study was based
on observational records by a team around Irene Bender and Matthias Dehling of the fruit choices of birds in the Manú Biosphere Reserve on the western slopes of the Andes in Peru.
But from an email conversation with Francis, Vavrus, and several other atmospheric scientists this week, it became clear that there may be more questions than answers at this point, given the large amount of natural variability that affects winter weather patterns, and the very
short observational record of how the atmosphere responded to extreme losses of sea ice (only five winters of records since 2007).
Observational records show that anthropogenic - influenced climate change has already had a profound impact on global and U.S. warm season climate over the past 30 years, and there is increasing contrast between geographic regions that are climatologically wet and dry - the hypothesis that the «wet gets wetter, dry gets drier» is seen in a new paper by Chang et al..
Co-author Nerilie Abram, from the Australian National University, said: «In order to better understand climate change in Antarctica, we need continued climate measurements in the Antarctic and Southern Ocean, and extension of these short
observational records with past climate reconstructions and climate modelling.»
The 29
year observational record of September sea ice extent has zero autocorrelation, zero skew, and zero correlation with the [prior] May extent.
We've narrowed the uncertainty in surface warming projections by generating thousands of climate simulations that each closely match
observational records for nine key climate metrics, including warming and ocean heat content.»
(The average lunar day is about 51 minutes longer than the solar day because of the moons rotation around Earth and this allows scientists to reliably separate the two tides in
long observational records.)
For such empirical forecasts regionally depth - dependent damping rates \ (\ lambda (x, y, z) \) could be derived from the lag - 1 autocorrelation of long
term observational records of water storage and soil moisture.
According to Stone, cases where the link between human - generated greenhouse gas emissions and local warming trends were weak were often due to the fact that the
climate observational record was insufficient in those regions to build a clear picture about what has been happening over the past several decades.
by Judith Curry The demand for climate information, with long
observational records spanning decades to centuries and the information's broad application for decision making across many socioeconom...
With the availability of multiple years of data from new and improved passive instruments launched as part of the Earth Observing System (EOS) and active instruments belonging to the A-Train constellation (L'Ecuyer and Jiang 2010), a more
complete observational record of ERB variations and the underlying processes is now possible.
Talk to me in another 15 years — Based on advances in modeling technology and on the
additional observational record, I guarantee that I will have modified my opinion several times during that period.
The more extreme nature of U.S. warm season climate in the
recent observational record and two «well - performing» dynamically downscaled CMIP3 models (Journal of Geophsycial Research - Atmospheres)
Working under the supervision of Dr. Toby Ault at Cornell University, our most recent project uses the CESM Large Ensemble (LENS) project [1] and Extend Spring Indices Model (SI - x)[2] to understand the risk of March 2012 - like (earliest spring in observational record [3]-RRB- springs through the end of the 21st century.
However, as mentioned in the earlier paragraph, it is difficult to make a strong statement saying that global warming is responsible for stronger hurricanes, due to the high natural variability of these storms and the
poor observational record: «multi-decadal variability and the quality of the tropical cyclone records prior to routine satellite observations in about 1970 complicate the detection of long - term trends in tropical cyclone activity.»
First, the algorithm assessed the adequacy of the available climate data — the so -
called observational record — related to the particular regional impact over the 40 - year period.
I mentioned in my last post that he would have a problem in formulating a response to the likelihood that 2013 will turn out to be the warmest year in the
Australian observational record.
Pepijn Bakker and colleagues
combine observational records of iceberg - rafted debris with climate models to show that the climate fluctuations seen during the Holocene may have been driven by small variations in the discharge of freshwater from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, amplified through the climate system.
«What causes the observed changes in precipitation and temperature is not something we have addressed because of the difficulties in doing so just based
on observational records,» Villarini says.
«The long -
term observational record of main components of the hydrological cycle — rainfall, evaporation, river runoff and soil moisture — is woefully incomplete, particularly in sensitive semi-arid regions, and this study is a significant contribution to support this record.»
Co-author of the study Professor Ian Hall, from the School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, said: «Our results highlight the challenge of basing our understanding of the climate system on generally
short observational records.
Results obtained so far are preliminary because
observational records of the change in satellite orbits are relatively short (Nerem and Klosko, 1996; Cheng et al., 1997) but they will become important as the length of the record increases.
Finally, some important apparent inconsistencies noted in
the observational record have been largely resolved since the last report.
Now Rebekah Dawson and Daniel Fabrycky at the Harvard - Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, Massachusetts, say gaps in
the observational record meant the planet's orbital period — originally thought to be about three days — was miscalculated.
For a start,
observational records are now roughly five years longer, and the global temperature increase over this period has been largely consistent with IPCC projections of greenhouse gas — driven warming made in previous reports dating back to 1990.