Sentences with phrase «of climate modelling»

That doesn't actually help much (and of course is the basis of climate modelling in any case!).
Second, they took a second set of climate model simulations which were identical to the first set, except that CO2 concentrations were kept constant at 19th century levels.
Not really a problem, since it's a prediction of climate models and has been observed.
The current generation of climate models represents a significant advancement in sophistication over the previous generation.
We discuss how tuning methodologies may affect fundamental results of climate models, such as climate sensitivity.
This would not only improve the accuracy of the climate model forecasts but would provide a basis for computing the uncertainty which applies to each forecast.
However, it is concluded that these new results can eventually improve the ability of climate models to better predict future precipitation changes.
A graduate - level course on the hands - on use of climate models for understanding climate processes.
We were able to quantify the internal variability contribution using an unprecedented large set of climate model simulations.
Although crucial, the evaluation of climate models based on past climate observations has some important limitations.
Also included in the figure (black circles) is the average trend in surface temperatures produced by a collection of climate models for the same intervals.
Especially given the never - ending skepticism about the validity of climate models.
First, they took the global temperature results from one set of climate models which incorporated the known changes in CO2.
The black line shows the average of climate model runs covering the same interval.
Before making expensive policy decisions on the basis of climate models, I think it is reasonable to require that those models predict future temperatures accurately for a period of ten years.
We'll likely revisit this topic, as it is a long - standing critique from climate skeptics and an important test of climate models.
How many of the climate models include this in their constellation of forcings?
There is yet little confidence in this feedback component of climate models and therefore its possible contribution to global warming (see Chapter 8).
First realize that the consensus that CO2 has driven recent climate change is based on the inability of climate models to detect natural variability associated with recent changes.
What is the evidence on the performance of climate models?
We now have reached the point where you agree that parameter estimation is part of climate models, and now statistical inference is too.
Also, I have been critical of climate models because of hind - casting.
Methods: Researchers combined two types of climate models for their analysis.
Saying that a map doesn't capture the true landscape or a portrait the true self is very confusing as a lead - in to a discussion of climate models.
Very warm springs have been anomalies, but this new analysis of climate model data shows an increased frequency to nearly one in every three years by the end of this century.
These expectations are supported by a majority of the climate model simulations that have looked at the variables.
In this portion of the film, the professor is speaking about the complexity of climate models and how their results can be greatly influenced by the input data they are given.
That's science, and the impressive successes of climate models show they are good models.
In the case of the climate model projections the projections start from a known value so there can be no error for the starting point.
It also acts as an advisory group / think tank to identify priorities and research and investment needs in the field of climate modelling and services.
This study contributes to the development of climate models and thereby also increases the accuracy of climate predictions.
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