Sentences with phrase «of extreme events»

In the coming years and decades, denial of the reality of climate change, including its manifestation in the form of greater frequency of extreme events, could spell disaster for the country.

The projected increase in intensity of extreme events in the future would likely have adverse implications for efforts to reduce poverty, particularly in developing countries.

This is possible and the emerging science of extreme event attribution is doing exactly that.

But these are the kind of extreme events set to become more common in a warming world.

It is probable that climate warming will cause increases in the intensity of some extreme events.

Does not change the risk of an extreme event happening but produces a lot of comfort in the organization which is good for morale.

The evaluation of many types of extreme events is made difficult because of issues of scale.

Now a new study assesses which people are most vulnerable to climate volatility, and asks how we might reduce the impact of these extreme events.

Scientists cite several statistical indicators that suggest the number of extreme events like heat waves and floods is rising.

Those figures don't include damages from the increased threat of extreme events like hurricanes because there the certainty is a bit lower.

The distribution and severity of extreme events may also change: storms may become more frequent and droughts more intense.

We have begun a study of the variability of temperature, and the rate of occurrence of extreme events.

Surely that would show a smaller increase in the likelihood of extreme events.

Such a mixed bag isn't uncommon in the relatively young science of extreme event attribution, as results can be limited by the length of weather observations or the capabilities of climate models.

The most diverse and long - lasting effects of extreme events are expected to affect forest ecosystems.

In the context of global warming, this means that rising temperatures increase the odds of extreme events occurring.

In 2011 and 2012 alone, the cost of extreme events totaled $ 720 million, including damage to both crops and properties.

The update also reviews evidence on key drivers of extreme events.

Because these events affect every aspect of our society, decision makers and stakeholders are increasingly in need of historical evaluations of extreme events and how they are changing from seasons to centuries.

I would be curious to see if that would align the results of this study more closely with prior attribution studies of extreme events.

The analysis was based on three independent methods of extreme event attribution: historical observed trends, coupled climate model simulations and a large ensemble of regional model simulations.

There are huge problems with getting unbiased measures of extreme events — especially events linked to actual impacts on humans and nature.

The two most fundamental properties of extreme events are that they are rare (by definition) and highly random.

We find a higher sensitivity of extreme events to aerosol reductions, per degree of surface warming, in particular over the major aerosol emission regions.

The biggest impacts of global warming will be from the shifts in the frequency and duration of extreme events, not the slow rise in the average temperature, it concluded.

This shows how some aspects of extreme events can be increased by global warming at the same time as decreasing over time.

However, reduction of extreme events in several regions is projected during summer.

The growing research area of extreme event attribution has provided pertinent scientific evidence for a number of such warm events for which the forced climate response rises above internal climatic variability.

I assume this lack of awareness was due to a lack of data on large sea ice loss seasons and lack of extreme events caused by blocking.

But thinking of extreme events statistically is already leaning on the wrong abstraction.

The board also highlighted its priorities for relevant model evaluation, including assessing the representation of extreme events and the seasonal progression of temperature and rainfall.

While the frequency of extreme events is increasing, in combating climate change «there's this feeling that we have options we didn't have before,» he said.

The evidence is piling up that this particular type of extreme event is becoming more common.

I instead like to focus on mitigation strategies now that would hopefully reduce the probability of extreme events in the future.

While scientists can not trace specific events to climate change with absolute certainty, new and continued research help scientists understand how the probability of extreme events change in response to global warming.

Future changes in climate are expected to include additional warming, changes in precipitation patterns and amounts, sea - level rise, and changes in the frequency and intensity of some extreme events.

The average temperature has increased by 1 °C, and there have already there have been a number of extreme events this century — two major droughts, and one major flood.

«There is strong evidence that changing occurrences of extreme events are related to climate change, and that such changes will continue with further climate change,» the group writes.

Many simulations are necessary to sample the statistics of extremes events.

That said, it is going to be discussed as if it were an attribution study — that global warming raised the odds of this extreme event.

But the problem with building the science of extreme events is that, by definition, they are rare.

The brochure for the workshop states: «Climate change caused by fossil fuel burning leads to increased risks of extreme events such as heat waves, droughts, fires, severe storms, floods which in turn have major health effects.»