This suggests that the recent
decline in sea ice extent represents a significant change in conditions from 1981 to 2010 time period.
The evidence that polar bears have not been harmed by
recent declines in sea ice is contained in the scientific literature, no matter what some researchers say when they talk to the media.
He pointed to computer models he and his colleagues studied that project a 30 percent
decline in sea ice by 2050.
There is no indication at all that we have seen a
comparable decline in sea ice for thousands of years — certainly not in the 1920s, as we know from ship's observations.
And thus, the increase in sea ice in the Antarctic was downplayed in preference to highlighting the observed
decline in sea ice in the Arctic.
For example, recent results from the Met Office do show that there is a detectable human impact in the long -
term decline in sea ice over the past 30 years, and all the evidence points to a complete loss of summer sea ice much later this century.
In the Arctic, which is warming faster than the rest of the planet, 2017
brought declines in sea ice, with record lows reported from January through March.
Climate sceptics point to increased sightings by indigenous Canadian communities, though that could be due to
declines in sea ice driving the animals ashore.
What's happening in the Arctic would be impossible without a century of global warming causing a long - term
decline in sea ice levels — but it is actually a short - term weather event.
Arctic warming has caused a rapid
decline in sea ice cover during the past decade that could seriously affect everything from Arctic ecosystems to shipping and oil drilling.
This is according to a team led by Charmain Hamilton of the Norwegian Polar Institute that monitored the movements of local polar bears and seals before and after a
sudden decline in sea ice in 2006, which altered coastal areas in the Norwegian archipelago of Svalbard.
The
present decline in sea ice is occurring at a pace seen in earlier episodes, but the sustained trend (now nearly 50 years long) is unprecedented in the 1,450 - year reconstruction period presented here.»
[Response: Because we have satellite data, sea ice buoys, the
obvious decline in sea ice volume / area / extent and information from the stations closest to the Arctic which show some the largest trends on the planet.
We're not talking about day trading here, we're talking climate and long range trends like a
steady decline in sea ice over decades, shrinking glaciers world - wide, deforestation, etc..
While a number of natural factors have certainly contributed to the
overall decline in sea ice, the effects of greenhouse warming are now coming through loud and clear.»
The models have failed to predict the rapid
decline in sea ice because models can not predict nonlinear behavior brough about by the complex interact of feedbacks.
«There is no doubt that Arctic sea ice extent is trending downwards, with much of that
multi-decadal decline in sea ice extent being due to human - induced climate change,» Hoerling told BuzzFeed News by email.
The Nature article projected a 50 %
decline in sea ice within 2 decades no matter what we do on emissions — and then total collapse even on a scenario with significant emissions reductions.
«So there's a definite
recent decline in sea ice,» Jessica Blunden, a climatologist with ERT, Inc. at NCEI and the lead editor of the report, said.
The increase in the amount of water vapor could be related to
the decline in sea ice, they say.
The Australian researchers say their work suggests that other proposed causes for the large Arctic warming — such as changes in air and ocean circulation patterns, cloud cover and water vapor — are dwarfed by the effect of
the decline in sea ice.
«The Arctic is facing
a decline in sea ice that might equal the negative record of 2012: Data collected by the CryoSat - 2 satellite reveal large amounts of thin ice that are unlikely to survive the summer.»
The study also determined what factors had the greatest impact on
the decline in sea ice albedo.
Bamber, et al. (GRL V. 31, 2004) found that the largest ice cap on Svalbard (Austfonna) was increasing in elevation and correlated the increase to
the decline in sea ice which, in turn, provided more open water and, hence, more local precipitation.
We already knew
the decline in sea ice was faster than models predict, presumably this effect was already acting over the last few years and we had records in 2005 and 2007 but not in 2006, 2008, 2009 or 2010.
The decline in sea ice is very clearly ongoing, and pretty clearly accelerating over time.
The title is a bit of a give - away -
the decline in sea ice is the major driver of Arctic amplification.
Decline in sea ice is the major driver of Arctic amplification.