It is worth noting that, in the absence of convection, pure greenhouse warming would lead to a globally
averaged surface temperature of 72 °C given current conditions.
Human civilization developed over a period of 10,000 years during which global
average surface temperatures remained remarkably stable, hovering within one degree Celsius of where they are today.
We found that unforced variability is large enough so that it could have accounted for multidecadal changes in the rate - of - increase of global
average surface temperature over the 20th century.
Nonetheless, there is a tendency for similar equilibrium climate sensitivity ECS, especially using a Charney ECS defined as equilibrium global time
average surface temperature change per unit tropopause - level forcing with stratospheric adjustment, for different types of forcings (CO2, CH4, solar) if the forcings are not too idiosyncratic.
Recent model results, by contrast, suggest that significant impacts will persist for hundreds of thousands of years after emissions cease;» Matthews and Caldeira (2008): «We show first that a single pulse of carbon released into the atmosphere increases globally
averaged surface temperature by an amount that remains approximately constant for several centuries, even in the absence of additional emissions.»
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) says
average surface temperatures on Earth rose 1.71 degrees Fahrenheit (0.95 degrees Celsius) between 1880 and 2016, and that change is accelerating in recent years.
NOAA said the combined global land and
ocean average surface temperature for the January - October period was 0.68 °C (1.22 °F) above the 20th century average of 14.1 °C (57.4 °F).
«New Research Report on the Validity of Global
Average Surface Temperature Data and EPA's GHG Endangerment Finding The Climate Alarmists» Gross Perversion of the Word Clean»
And in some sense I think the scientific community and the diplomatic community have almost unwittingly played into the hands of the so - called climate denialists by focusing so much on global
average surface temperatures when there are all kinds of factors that affect it.
Jacob (and many, many others) seem to think that if model A, when run from 1900 to present, predicts the relatively flat, global
average surface temperature record over the past decade, is a better match to reality than model B which does not.
Second, IAMs specifically aim to have global
average surface temperatures below 1.5 C in 2100, rather than limiting warming to no more than 1.5 C at any point between present and 2100.
Michaels also suggests that temperatures in 2015, while still being «the
highest average surface temperature in the 160 - year global history since reliable records started being available,» had a «de minimis» effect on the global economy.
Spurred by climate change and heat from a monster El Niño, the global
average surface temperature last year was 0.94 degrees Celsius (1.69 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than the 20th century average of 13.9 ° C (57 ° F).
For the contiguous United States and Alaska, 2016 was the second - warmest year on record and the 20th consecutive year that the annual
average surface temperature exceeded the 122 - year average since record keeping began, according to NOAA.
I was referring to the plot of
absolute average surface temperatures from different models against the projected rate of warming for 2011 to 2070 from those same models; this is the next to last graphic from Gavin's post.
First they said the Mars and Venus measurements weren't measured, just computed; then they said we couldn't measure temperatures on other planets; then they said we'd need billions of measurements to
estimate average surface temperature.
Phrases with «average surface temperature»