The phrase
"hurricane activity" refers to the occurrence, intensity, or behavior of hurricanes. It describes how many hurricanes are happening, how strong they are, and what they are doing.
Full definition
It looks like there was a dramatic increase
in hurricane activity in the 1996 - 2005 period (and to a lesser extent in the preceding 1986 - 1995 period).
However, prior bouts of
increased hurricane activity due to natural variation do not rule out a role for global warming the current period of increased activity since the early 1980s.
There is evidence suggesting a human contribution to recent changes in
hurricane activity as well as in storms outside the tropics, though a confident assessment will require further study.
Further investigation with more advanced models is needed for more confident projections of
future hurricane activity in a warming climate.
According to the most recent evidence, there does not seem to be any sort of trend toward
more hurricane activity and the signal for a possible increase in intensity is weak.
The following table shows there have been periods of
greater hurricane activity before atmospheric CO2 increased by any significant amount.
We have been told that climate change would cause more powerful hurricanes and yet we have had a decade of
lower hurricane activity and no change in tornado activity.
Fortunately, however, several climate patterns are known which strongly control the overall
seasonal hurricane activity, and they often last for entire seasons, sometimes for decades at a time.
Not only has
hurricane activity not increased across the wide areas examined, the activity has actually been on a slow declining trend.
Unfortunately, it is difficult to compare
recent hurricane activity to that of earlier periods, because the technology for hurricane detection has dramatically improved in recent years.
Even if they are wrong, existing reactors were built (along with most coastal developments) during a period of historically
low hurricane activity and a return to baseline seems likely.
As we have also pointed out in previous posts, we can indeed draw some important conclusions about the links
between hurricane activity and global warming in a statistical sense.
Their study also shows that the tropical multi-decadal signal is causing the observed multi-decadal fluctuations in
Atlantic hurricane activity since 1950.»
Indeed, the climatological peak
for hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean is September 10, as you can see in this helpful image from the National Hurricane Center:
One study found that warming didn't seem to play a role in the increased winter storm activity over the U.S., but, in another study by the same researchers, they did find that it did up the odds of the unusually high
hurricane activity around Hawaii.
In addition to enhanced vertical wind shear, El Niño suppresses Atlantic
hurricane activity by increasing the amount of sinking motion and increasing the atmospheric stability.
«The environmental changes found here do not suggest a strong increase in tropical Atlantic
hurricane activity during the 21st century,» said Brian Soden, Rosenstiel School associate professor of meteorology and physical oceanography and the paper's co-author.
By Gray's very clearly articulated reasoning, there should have been a downturn, not the observed upturn in major Atlantic
hurricane activity over the past several decades (in the absence of other — including anthropogenic — influences on tropical Atlantic climate) if Bryden et al.'s results are correct.
This year saw above -
normal hurricane activity in the region, including the strongest storm ever directly measured in the Western Hemisphere.
The study looked at historical
hurricane activity across the entire tropical Atlantic basin to see if the current peak in storm numbers is... Read more
«Their statistical projection is totally unconvincing, since it is based on a data set that incompletely represents US
landfalling hurricane activity since 1923.»
In July, the hurricane set several records for early
season hurricane activity, becoming both the earliest formation of a fourth tropical cyclone and the strongest Atlantic hurricane ever to form before August, according to available records.
«It is difficult to use climate models to
study hurricane activity, and so studies such as ours, which produced a record of storms under different climate conditions, are important for our understanding of future storm activity,» Denniston said.
In the Northern Hemisphere, the season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, while the Southern Hemisphere generally
experiences hurricane activity from January to March.
«The interval when Columbus is exploring the New World is this interval where we're seeing increased
hurricane activity along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.,» Jeffrey Donnelly, a Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution palaeoclimatologist, said.
Phrases with «hurricane activity»