Sentences with phrase «climate model projections»

Several media outlets are reporting that new research shows climate model projections of rainfall extremes may be «flawed» or «wrong».
As the basis for the chapter to follow, we provide summaries of the scaled - down global climate model projections for each of these climate variables below.
We find exactly the same sort of flat periods in climate model projections, lasting easily up to 15 years in length.
In reality, the observed global warming has been spot - on consistent with climate model projections.
Climate model projections suggest that by year 2100, both intense drought and flooding may increase in frequency by at least 50 percent.
For a climate scientist it is a trivial task to take existing data from climate model projections and explore 2015 temperatures in future scenarios.
Previous climate model projections of climate change accounted for external forcing from natural and anthropogenic sources but did not attempt to predict internally generated natural variability.
His reading of climate model projections also doesn't mention the persistent uncertainty about how much warming a given rise in greenhouse gas concentrations could produce.
Spring snow cover extent reductions in the 2008 — 2012 period exceeding climate model projections.
This research will reduce uncertainty in climate model projections.
So «fingerprint» studies which claim to find close correspondence between climate model projections and actual observations during the past 50 to 100 years are confused as to both causes and effects.
The paper prompted a MailOnline headline of, «Projections of global drought and flood may be flawed», while the Australian followed suit with, «Climate model projections on rain and drought wrong, study says».
By refining scientists» understanding of how efficiently gases and heat are taken up, the finding will improve global climate model projections for future climate scenarios, said Marshall.
When I look at Gavin's Climate Model Projections Compared to Observations page I don't see it.
Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections by Reto Knutti and Jan Sedlácek
It provides additional climate information that was not available during the previous regional assessment in 2007 and draws heavily on the PCIC province - wide analysis, Climate Overview 2007 as well as climate model projections prepared for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report.
New climate model projections of the world's coral reefs reveal which reefs will be hit first by annual coral bleaching, an event that poses the gravest threat to one of the Earth's most important ecosystems.
Climate model projections show a warmer Montana in the future, with mixed changes in precipitation, more extreme events, and mixed certainty on upcoming drought.
Climate model projections neglecting these changes would continue to overestimate the radiative forcing and global warming in coming decades if these aerosols remain present at current values or increase.
Your statement on mistaken assumption # 5 about climate model projections being theoretically based rather than empirically based is well made.
This contradicts climate model projections, which predict greater warming aloft.
With temperatures in the region rising fast, in line with global warming climate model projections, it seems the death of Patagonia's glaciers has man's hand behind it.
In the project, FMI compiles and evaluates RCP - based climate model projections for Finland, constructs daily gridded datasets of a number of climatic variables, assesses climate change impacts on human health, provides guidance to end - users and exports up - to - date information to Climateguide.fi.
When this model was then applied to the future, they found that in a world of continuing high greenhouse gas emissions, the threshold for widespread drought - induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths on average across climate model projections in the 2050s.
«This study highlights the important role that can be played by satellite records in validating climate model projections,» said co-author John Fasullo, a climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research.
We will come back to this issue in future weeks, as we compile more data on nighttime temperatures and examine climate model projections more closely.
Researchers at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory came to that conclusion after analyzing climate model projections through the end of the century under a comparatively high greenhouse gas emission scenario.
I read a comment by a skeptic that because climate model projections are «averaged over time» (ie.
«Importantly, it reminds us that even if most climate model projections agree on their projections for future AMOC changes, that doesn't necessarily mean that the projections are correct,» she added.
Instead of making this point, Christy misinformed our policymakers by telling them that these results indicate that climate sensitivity is low, and that we should follow the example of North Carolina politicians by suggesting that based on these results we should simply ignore climate model projections and stumble blindly into the future.
Without the exaggerated alarm conjured from overly pessimistic climate model projections of climate change from carbon dioxide emissions, fossil fuels — coal, oil, gas — would regain their image as the celebrated agents of prosperity that they are, rather than being labeled as pernicious agents of our destruction.
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