The phrase
"hurricane forecasting" refers to the process of predicting and estimating the path, intensity, and potential impact of a hurricane. It involves using scientific tools, computer models, and historical data to provide information and warnings to people in the affected areas.
Full definition
«The president just stripped the Department of Homeland Security of its leader, was blasted by the outgoing head of
hurricane forecasting for how his budget cuts could set back this work, and lacks any experience (as a senator or governor) with navigating a difficult disaster response.
Chan and Au - Yeung say that their research shows the importance of including land - surface variation
in hurricane forecasting in the future.
Diving at Ambergris Caye is possible year - round but do keep an eye
on hurricane forecasts from July to September.
That data, scientists said at the Nov. 10 briefing, can be used to
improve hurricane forecasting by providing more data and in a more timely manner than possible with other satellites or hurricane - tracking aircraft.
So far, these early results showed that physical conditions where the air and the ocean interact must be a vital part of any successful
hurricane forecasting model and would help explain, and predict, how a storm might intensify as it moves through across the water based on the physical stress at the ocean's surface.
«NOAA's satellites underpin
hurricane forecasts by providing meteorological data over vast areas where we don't have other means of information.»
Here's the scene in the Miami forecasting center, which illustrates why the midpoint of
hurricane forecast tracks is relatively meaningless:
In one experiment, the researchers showed participants either a summary display or an ensemble display
with hurricane forecast data and asked them to interpret size and intensity of the storm on a hypothetical oil rig that was shown in different locations.
In the mid-1980s, GFDL scientists began a 10 - year effort to transform their research model into an operational
hurricane forecasting tool for the National Weather Service.
«Interpreting
hurricane forecast displays can be difficult for general public: Two commonly used methods are often misunderstood by novice viewers.»
On Oct. 5, Rush Limbaugh
said hurricane forecasting often involved «politics» because «the National Hurricane Center is part of the National Weather Service, which is part of the Commerce Department, which is part of the Obama administration, which by definition has been tainted.»
«Even
though hurricane forecasts are costly and have a high impact on health and safety, there has been little research demonstrating how to depict forecast uncertainty to the general public effectively,» said Padilla.
But she also warned that spending cuts enacted by Congress threaten NOAA's ability to produce
detailed hurricane forecasts and track storms in the future.
As these tools get an unprecedented workout thanks to an unusually ferocious series of storms, scientists may know in a few months
whether hurricane forecasting is about to undergo a sea change.
«Light - based method improves practicality and quality of remote wind measurements: Innovative technology could
aid hurricane forecasting, aircraft safety and wind energy generation.»
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Hurricane forecasts today rely on Air Force pilots who zigzag through the eye, releasing dropsondes — parachute - equipped tubes containing instruments that measure pressure, temperature, humidity, and wind speed.
Severe weather outlooks will extend beyond five days,
hurricane forecasts beyond seven days, and the threat of spring floods will be known weeks in advance.
During the press conference, Mary Erickson, deputy director of National Weather Service, touted the increased accuracy of
hurricane forecasts resulting from investments into improving models.
During Thursday's press conference, officials also touted the updated models and tools they have to produce better forecasts for individual storms, part of a concerted effort that has greatly improved
hurricane forecasts over the past couple of decades.
Long -
range hurricane forecasts are eagerly awaited in U.S. financial and energy markets, which quiver every time a storm bears down on the U.S. oil and gas - producing region of the Gulf of Mexico.
The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be quieter than normal, with a below - average number of storms and hurricanes, a leading
U.S. hurricane forecasting team said last week.
There are a number of signals that point to the chance for an above - average hurricane season, said Philip Klotzbach, a scientist who
creates hurricane forecasts for the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University.
We have all heard of the
yearly hurricane forecasts made by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, now the Companion Animal Parasite Council is predicting that in 2016 the spread of vector - borne disease agents transmitted by ticks and mosquitoes will continue to promulgate and create a year - round menace to both pets and pet owners.
Joining Crichton on climate change issues was William Gray of
hurricane forecasting fame, Richard Benedick (a negotiator on the Montreal Protocol on ozone - depleting chemicals), and David Sandalow (Brookings Institution).
According to a 2007 presentation at the 61st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference, the improved
hurricane forecasts between 2000 — 2006 resulted in savings of $ 3 billion compared to what the forecasts of the 1990s would have cost.
Has track forecasting improved (note the difference in cone area / width in the two
hurricane forecast archives below) or are these fundamentally different tropical systems facing different levels of complex conditions?
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued its
initial hurricane forecast for the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico this afternoon, predicting an «active to extremely active» hurricane season.
In early October, as Hurricane Matthew approached the southeastern United States and officials ordered mass evacuations, a group of right - wing commentators alleged that the Obama administration was conspiring to
exaggerate hurricane forecasts in order to scare the public about climate change.
Ellensburg Daily Record — Google News Archive Search After the longest spell on record without a US major hurricane strike, and decades of
failed hurricane forecasts, the pathetic New York Times is reduced to blaming sea level rise and heavy... Continue reading →
But today, the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Association published a paper by Professor Kerry Emanuel of MIT titled «Will global warming make
hurricane forecasting more difficult?»
The hurricane cemented a lifelong fascination with natural disasters, and led Navarro into her current career as a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Washington, where she
studies hurricane forecasting and how solar radiation affects the strength of hurricanes.